Messages

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Tournaments / Re: Proving Grounds Heavy/Godlike: Can't touch this.

« on: November 06, 2024, 02:13:12 PM »

Oracle (Bravely Default II) vs. Emelious (Grandia 3) - I don't really see how Oracle gets out of the being stuck on the forever loop of recasting Elemental Supplement. Emelious constantly doubleturns after Oracle's first turn and there's just not much they can do to escape this.
Oracle vs. Rudo Marco (Brigandine LoR) - Survive a Rudo turn, ES, do whatever the hell they want until Rudo dies.
Oracle vs. Lenneth Valkyrie (Valkyrie Profile 1) - I'm never respecting BD2 status that isn't under the influence of Guaranteed Results, and that feels like the shot Oracle has. They go last if they go for the elemental spoiling setup and Lenneth just OHKOs that.
Oracle vs. Sir Leopold (Dragon Quest VIII) - Well, this boils down to "do I see Elemental Supplement getting owned by icy waves?". And the answer to this is uh i dunno.

Rest later, this is a headache.

Oracle vs. Celes Chere (Final Fantasy 6) - Oracle vs. Gilgamesh (Final Fantasy 5)
Oracle vs. Neclord (Suikodens)
Oracle vs. Wakka (Final Fantasy X)

Oracle vs. Hugo (Suikoden 3)
Oracle vs. Ephraim (Fire Emblem 8)
Oracle vs. Chie Satonaka (Persona 4)
Oracle vs. Alain (Unicorn Overlord)

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2024 Grand Finals: It always seems to end in rematches.

« on: October 07, 2024, 02:47:17 PM »

Imaginary pools

Ryuji has Auto-Taru, that flips the Stocke matchup upside down (and IIRC Ryuji also halves Fire... not that it matters), Tarucharged God's Hand OHKOs Stocke with plenty of room even after factoring in Auto-Taru in the averages (which I obviously do, since both Ryuji and Morgana get it from their equips). Ryuji's auto-Taru weapon comes from an insanely common recruitable Persona from Shido's palace, too, so its legality is kinda not a factor as well. Probably doesn't help him against Therion, though, since Shackle Foe does awful things (and Auto-Taru is just as dispellable as its casting form).

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2024 Grand Finals: It always seems to end in rematches.

« on: October 04, 2024, 02:33:33 PM »

Mewtwo (PKMN) vs. Shania (SH:FtNW): RBY here, so this is academic.

Nel Zelpher (SO3) vs. Lady Elmina Harken (WA:ACF): Fweem.

MOMO Mizrahi (XSs) vs. Stocke (RH): Weirdly, this is a match where XS3 MOMO struggles somewhat more than XS1, but even then, having to take a damage hit to block silence (and, depending on how harsh you are, not even being able to) puts this firmly out of Stocke's reach. MOMO 1 just cruises.

Marianne von Edmund (FE3H) vs. Zhuzhen Liu (SH1): Second verse, same as the first.

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2024 Round 9: Losers' Finals: No real comment to make here.

« on: September 27, 2024, 02:19:36 PM »

Lady Elmina Harken (WA:ACF) vs. Geno (SMRPG) - Yeah, I think Elf's on the money here: Harken lands an effective 4-3 and this is just a bit too much for Geno even with Work Pants. Still, very solid match

Jude Maverick (WA4) vs. Stocke (RH) - Yeah, tanky mage slugger is not what Jude likes facing, that mdur be uguu.

Zhuzhen Liu (SH1) vs. Hubert von Vestra (FE3H) - sure

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2024 Round 8: Winners Final/Losers Semi. Zhuzhen Stands Alone.

« on: September 20, 2024, 02:20:31 PM »

Terra Branford (FF6) vs. Shania (SH:FtNW) - Yeah, no Ultima, no whammy.

Lady Elmina Harken (WA:ACF) vs. Nel Zelpher (SO3) - Oh dear, Ice Daggers bypass Harken's Blocker. This is not pretty.
Asellus (SaGa) vs. Geno (SMRPG) - The Blood Chalice mdur hit always shocks me with how ugly it is. Almost 25% extra damage taken? Yeah, Asellus just can't recover from that.


Jude Maverick (WA4) vs. MOMO Mizrahi (XSs) - Unlike most people here, I still think the form MOMO uses doesn't really matter at all. XS3 MOMO's first turn speed is junk: Jude isn't far from instadoubling her at base, so RA means Jude immediately lands two turns before her first. Shoot+RA-boosted Assault Buster scrapes PC HP damage to average durability and MOMO not only sports 73% PC HP, but she has game-worst DEF. This is not even factoring the boosts to naked AB given from MOMO's sucky speed and defenses. Jude might OHKO with Assault Buster WITHOUT the rapid attack opener and he doesn't even have to. The other forms are academic. HILARIOUSLY, MOMO might have the best shot with XS2 of all forms, but I think Jude can avoid the 2HKO equipping his MDef-twinked armor at absolute worst.

Marianne von Edmund (FE3H) vs. Zhuzhen Liu (SH1) - Nosferatu+Renewal is frankly way too much here.
Annette Fantine Dominic (FE3H) vs. Hubert von Vestra (FE3H) - Feels right at a spiritual level.

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2024 Round 2: Are Realians worms? And two demon swordsmen square off. :)

« on: August 05, 2024, 03:49:33 PM »

Odd Eye (ShF2) vs. Melfice (G2) - Faster. 2HKOs.
Tir McDohl (S1) vs. Chris Lightfellow (S3) - Yeah, the faster one takes it all.

Ryuji Sakamoto (P5) vs. Hildegarde Valentine (SH:FtNW) - Home run.
Summoner (FF5) vs. Tidus (FFX) - Tidus juuuuust misses a 3HKO on Summoner, so Catoblepas solves things.

Tifa Lockhart (FF7) vs. Leehalt Alceste (WA3) - Leehalt does not get to dodge a limit.
Amarant Coral (FF9) vs. Bowser (SMRPG) - Uh, Fear physicals do strap Amarant into a heal-lock that actually makes leeway against Amarant slowly. This said, Bowser has to reapply it periodically and that also means Amarant gets to make progress himself between recasts... and Amarant is faster. Alternatively, he can try to apply Countdown, which I don't think Bowser can stop in time. Yeah, this is not a short fight, but I guess it works like this.
Albel Nox (SO3) vs. MOMO Mizrahi (XSs) - I... actually think it doesn't matter which form MOMO takes? Albel damage is a thing, so XS1 runs Confuse rod, Star Lights and proceeds to 2HKO. XS3 eats Albel alive with Abyss Walker => Blood Dancer => smashy smashy. Even XS2 might have a shot with charging twice into a KO, which is just sad.

Ricardo Banderas (XG) vs. Labyrinthia Wordsworth (WA:XF) - I thought about Labby's accuracy busting, but tbh she just goes first and 2HKOs.
Cotton (SaGa) vs. Zhuzhen Liu (SH1) - Zhuzhen has enough time to land Paralysis and just win from there, Cotton offense is unsalvageable.
Boco (FFT) vs. Annette Fantine Dominic (FE3H) - uh doesn't Annette 2HKO Boco at base

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2024 Round 1: Axes to the Face, and Hubert on Kitchen Duty

« on: August 02, 2024, 02:46:54 PM »

Shania(SH:FtNW) vs. Worker 8 (FFT) - Shania just gives Worker 8 fits with how well-rounded her skillset is.
Magus (CT) vs. Citan Uzuki (XG) - I have no idea how Magus could possibly outlast Citan.
Edelgard von Hresvelg (FE3H) vs. Zio (PSIV) - Oof, Zio is around 2.6x PC HP to me. Random's math works for me.
Terra Branford (FF6) vs. Mewtwo (PKMN) - Oof, yeah, it's Ultima/Break or bust for Terra. Mewtwo can eventually get his damage to something like 4.8x PC HP with full Amnesia stacks, so there's no way she can handle even a second Amnesia.

KOS-MOS (XS) vs. Clarissa Arwin (WA:XF) - Well, yeah.
Lyndis (FE7) vs. Rufus (VP2) - Oof, that ITE. Rufus has multiple ways to clinch a win here.
Maya Schrodinger (WA3) vs. Geno (SMRPG) - Yep. Geno just chips too well.
Lady Harken (WA:ACF) vs. Ernst (S5) - Ernst not very happy here.

Mitsuru Kirijo (P3) vs. Jude Maverick (WA4) - Yeah, Jude 3-2s average speed with an opening RA.
Anastasia Romanov (SH2) vs. Karsh (CC) - Thanks, guys
Jessica de Alkirk (L:SSSC) vs. Clive Winslett (WA3) - L:SSSC silence also affects physical skills, so yeah I very much buy the argument here.

Marianne von Edmund (FE3H) vs. Marcus (FE6) - Oh dear.
Squire (FFT) vs. Mustadio Bunanza (FFT) - <mustadio>
Hubert von Vestra (FE3H) vs. Peco (BoF3) - I think any damage breaks BoF3 sleep from my admittedly blurry memory. This isn't an argument in favor of the onion.
Queen (S3) vs. Nina (S2) - Well, yes.

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Tournaments / Re: Futurama 2023 Week 5 + Rankings!

« on: February 09, 2024, 02:13:08 PM »

Yuna (Final Fantasy X) vs Belial (Wild ARMs 4) - I mean, Belial is so accurate that even Arnaud has problems dodging Tank Drop and Yuna has -less- evade than Arnaud. She may not even need 4D Pocket on average. Not that it matters, 4D Pocket is a crazy PC killer either way because turngauge-resetting off nearly 300% average speed is just bonkers.

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Tournaments / Re: Futurama 2023 Week 4

« on: January 25, 2024, 06:18:55 PM »

Heat (Digital Devil Saga) vs Yuna (Final Fantasy X) - At first, I thought this'd be a really complicated match, since AoE isn't easy to come by in FFX and what Yuna's Aeons have in that regard is saddled with bad recharge times. But no, Heat's durability is actually barely above PC HP, she just phones Anima and makes him die before anything happens.
Goddess (Final Fantasy VI) vs Belial (Wild ARMs 4) - Belial is DANGEROUSLY close to OHKOing Goddess with a Tank Drop. She -really- doesn't have to.

Heavy

Mei-ling (SaGa Frontier) vs Kyra Tierney (Phantasy Star IV) - Mei-ling's Bounded Shot crits ignore defense and she has an initiative 2HKO as is. Worst part: even if you respect Telele more than I do, it doesn't hit the stats guns use for their damage, so Kyra's really hoping for insane luck on Bindwa. Not really happening.

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Tournaments / Re: Futurama 2023 Week 3

« on: January 12, 2024, 01:29:09 PM »

Riou (Suikoden II) vs Yuna (Final Fantasy X) - I've seen this fight before and I had the same questions about who's faster as well. So yeah.
Belial (Wild ARMs 4) vs Ryu (Breath of Fire IV) - Even if you don't allow 4D Pocket to win the fight, it resets the target's CTB gauge to zero, so it locks Ryu down all the same. There's no universe where Belial doesn't insta-double Ryu, so Agony Effect => 4D Pocket => lather rinse repeat.

Mei-ling (SaGa Frontier) vs Mystic Knight (Final Fantasy V) - Mei-ling just 2HKOs on average, I think. Light Sword makes MK's accuracy not turn one, so if necessary to guarantee the 2HKO, she can also afford that.

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Tournaments / Re: Futurama 2023 Week 1

« on: January 08, 2024, 01:48:03 PM »

Riou (Suikoden II) vs Ezel Granada (Super Robot Wars OG Saga: Endless Frontier) - Forgiver Sign is over 2x PC HP that ignores defense, Ezel does -not- live through that.

Mei-ling (SaGa Frontier) vs Tim (Brigandine: Legend of Runersia) - Mei-ling has all the stall she needs to drain Tim out.

Thief (Final Fantasy V) vs Corselia (Suikoden Tactics) - Corselia just makes a water panel and bonks Thief all day. I'm not even sure she NEEDS the panel because Thief is nearly incapable of breaking through that evade.

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Tournaments / Re: Futurama 2023 NOMS

« on: December 19, 2023, 04:26:50 PM »

hi guys

Godlike: Yuna (FFX), Ameno-Sagiri (P4), Tetri (MK2), Heat (DDS), Haken Browning (SRWOG:EF), Kusuha Mizuha (SRW:OGs)

Heavy: Petra Mcneary (FE3H), Hildagarde Valentine (SH3), Charlotte (ToM/SD3), Mei-ling (SF), Ann Takamaki (P5), Lei Kugo (LaL)

Middle: Axl (MMXCM), Poco (AtL), Yulie Ahtreide (WA4), Empoleon (PKMN), Jack Skellington (KH), Mu'ah (Brig: LoR)

Light: Red Mage (BD), Frog (CT), Yukari Takeba (P3), Relm Arrowny (FF6), Cordelia (Suiko Tactics), Beast (KH)

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2023 Round 10, Grand Finals: Deja Vu, I've Been Here In This Place Before

« on: October 18, 2023, 04:01:37 PM »

T260G (SaGa) vs. Belial (WA4) - V-MAX, Starlight Shower, the end.

Emilia (SaGa) vs. Edgar Roni Figaro (FF6) - pew pew

Red XIII (FF7) vs. Byleth Eisner (FE3H) - Yeah, don't think Byleth really can avoid a L2 and uh that's bad news. It's not like Byleth has the easiest time against Nanaki even before limits come into play.

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2023 Round 8, Winners Finals/Losers Semifinals: Technical Difficulties

« on: October 09, 2023, 03:30:53 PM »

T260G (SaGa) vs. Fenrir (VP1) - Even if you don't see Freeze as immunable by the trashcan, I'm not really sure what can Fenrir even DO here. I'm not sure Fenny avoids being OHKOed by Magnify as it stands and the wolf can't even break T2's regen until below half HP! So uh yeah.
Rika (PSIV) vs. Belial (WA4) - Huh, Rika does avoid being instant-doubled to me and that does change things. Yeah, nevermind.

Levin Brenton (WAXF) vs. Emilia (SaGa) - Levin goes last and faces evasion. This is a nightmare.
Edgar Roni Figaro (FF6) vs. Lilka Eleniak (WA2) - Yeah, no way around the status.

Red XIII (FF7) vs. Tony (WA4) - Yeah, Stardust Ray just melts Tony and he has no way around it.
Byleth Eisner (FE3H) vs. Florina (FE7) - Wow, Windsweep.

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2023 Round 7, Losers Quarterfinals: Edgar's second SaGa run-in

« on: September 25, 2023, 02:10:59 PM »

Arceus (PKMN) vs. Rika (PSIV) - Yeah, not feeling the Ghost > Elim argument today. And Arceus without Normal typing really, really struggles to pressure Rika, so she uh has all the time in the world to land it.
Belial (WA4) vs. Killer (SH3) - Tank Drop just 2HKOs and she insta-doubles, the usual.

Edgar Roni Figaro (FF6) vs. Asellus (SaGa) - So uh Asellus doesn't get immunity to confusion, unless Mystic Change also grants status immunity besides status healing. I SUPPOSE you could make an argument for Noiseblaster being sound-elemental, but uh. I dunno how I feel about this match.
Ness (EB) vs. Lilka Eleniak (WA2) - Lilka plops Reflect first turn with the half-FP crest assigned to it and Ness goes uguu.

Byleth Eisner (FE3H) vs. October (CSTW) - I certainly can buy Byleth doubling October.
Florina (FE7) vs. Elena (G2) - While Florina doesn't have the sleep blocker Red does... I certainly don't respect G2 techs bypassing evade as comprehensive as FE's, so yeah, Nightmare Ball spam doesn't work too well here and Florina two-rounds with an Iron Sword.

Karn (BoF1) vs. Queen (S3) - Both 3HKO on average, but Karn is faster, I suppose?

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2023 Round 6, Winners Semi/Losers 3: Godlike is Doglike this week

« on: September 24, 2023, 01:48:03 PM »

Killer (SH3) vs. T260G (SaGa) - Killer's sub-PC HP, so uh yeah Magnify just blows him up.
Rika (PSIV) vs. Fenrir (VP1) - See everyone else.

Arceus (PKMN) vs. Sir Leopold (DQ8) - uh yeah ghost plate just butchers Leopold, doesn't it

Levin Brenton (WAXF) vs. Lilka Eleniak (WA2) - Yeah, I really don't think I respect base WA2 character evade enough for Lilka to get going here.
Emelia (SaGa) vs. Asellus (SaGa) - pew pew

Losers:

Eirika (FE8) vs. Edgar Roni Figaro (FF6) - No real comments, Edgar against the status vulnerable strikes again.
Auron (FFX) vs. Ness (EB) - sure

Red XIII (FF7) vs. Elena (G2) - yup
October (CSTW) vs. Tony (WA4) - Guys, Tony is a good Middle.

Byleth Eisner (FE3H) vs. vs. Flay Gunnar (MK) - Burping Random.

Queen (S3) vs. Virginia Maxwell (WA3) - You need to be really good at evadable physicals to beat Virginia in Light. Queen... is not really it.

Karn(BoF1) vs. Linhardt von Hevring (FE3H) - Ouch, Karn two-rounds through Renewal and isn't 2HKOed back.
Poshul(CC) vs. Selphie Tilmitt (FF8) - Damage control. CC characters have it.

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2023 Round 4, Winners' Quarterfinals: Light: Home to Thieves Since 1993

« on: September 06, 2023, 03:54:42 PM »

Rayquaza (PKMN) vs. Killer (SH3) - Yeah, 'quaza needs a OHKO here and Hyper Beam isn't even 80% PC HP before buffing. Killer just IDs.
T260G (SaGa) vs. Chaz Ashley (PSIV) - um yeah I'm not even sure Chaz avoids being OHKOed by Magnify and that's so not the only thing he has issues with. Explode is so not turn one against SaGa mec stat spreads (I'm not even sure it'd be turn two, which more or less ends the discussion forever).
Jowy Atreides (S2) vs. Rika (PSIV) - As far as the formula on Elim is concerned, to me you need to be faster than Rika to reduce its accuracy below turn one, so that's that. If you see Jowy avoiding it first turn, he obviously wins.
Fenrir (VP1) vs. Jenna Angel (DDS) - uh ladies bhairava is evadable physical damage and gets owned by fenrir spoiling so hard and even 4hko damage one-shots individual jenna phases wow

Alicia (VP2) vs. Levin Brenton (WAXF) - Yeah, don't think Alicia really has the evade to screw Levin over.
Lilka Eleniak (WA2) vs. Auron (FFX) - Really odd match, but I think this is right: Zombie Attack isn't a factor, since even if you don't see it being healed by Restore,  by the third casting of Quick, Auron isn't really hitting Lilka ever outside overdrive. I suspect she makes it out long before that's a factor.
Edgar Roni Figaro (FF6) vs. Emelia (SaGa) - Ugly-ass spoiling, Emelia doesn't really care about the stat loss from BloodChalice and AngelBroach gives her in-built confusion immunity. She just fills Edgar's body with lead.
Asellus (SaGa) vs. Eirika (FE8) - Asellus is so brutally anti-physical even before she Awakens I can't really see Eirika making this work. Doubling with Killing Edge is neat, I suppose, but it doesn't really get past Kasumi and Deflect stacking together.

Red XIII (FF7) vs. Anastasia Romanov (SH2) - I'm pretty sure Red 2HKOs average on the dot to me and he blocks Stone. I don't think Ana has much of anything to work this out effectively.
Blanca (SH2) vs. Elena (G2) - uh tell me how Blanca can actually outstall Elena here
Flay Gunnar (MK1) vs. October (CSTW) - Oh. Flay doesn't one-shot October. Goooooooooooooooodbye
Tony (WA4) vs. Sylvain Jose Gautier (FE3H) - Tony weirdly manages this because 1.36 pdur is nice, but not really enough to withstand four bullet salvos to the face and two Short Spear counters don't even add up to 40% PC HP. To make matters worse, Sylvain doesn't even have good Luck to mitigate criticals...

Linhardt von Hevring (FE3H) vs. Queen (S3) - Oh dear, Queen doubles Linhardt no matter what he equips and she's not far from 2HKOing (not two-rounding) as is. To make matters worse, she has decent mdef (decent SUIKODEN 3 MDEF), which cuts into Nosferatu's already limited effectiveness even further. Yeah, don't think this pans out for my genius twink.
Virginia Maxwell (WA3) vs. Karn (BoF1) - Thinking the evade and durability difference seal this (Ginny's pdur is suspect, but Karn's is considerably worse).

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2022 Round 8: Winners' Finals, Losers' Semifinals - Kaiju vs. Robot Fight

« on: October 10, 2022, 02:24:50 PM »

Belial (WA4) vs. Yuna (FFX) - Pockets.
Ryu (BoF3) vs. Sephiroth (FF7) - Yeah, I think I prefer to look at FF7 averages a bit lower in terms of HP, since twinking for durability in FF7 is uh not usually even remotely close to optimal. Two HP + per character feels kinda silly.

Worker 8 (FFT) vs. Reclaimer Dragon (WA4) - Oh wow.
Nel Zelpher (SO3) vs. X (MMX:CM) - Yep.

Bartholomew Fatima (XG) vs. Byleth Eisner (FE3H) - Levin Sword strats screwing up Bart makes me pretty happy, ngl
Lich (FF1) vs. CHAMELEON MAN (WA3) - lol

Locke Cole (FF6) vs. Ryudo (G2) - Locke kinda bad, yeah.

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2022 Round 7: Losers Quarters; Double Dragon Godlike 2: Electric Boogaloo

« on: October 06, 2022, 02:01:44 PM »

Ryu (BoF3) vs. Fou Lu (BoF4) - I distinctly remember Ryu having some dragon forms that can reach something absurd like over 5x PC HP, making surviving the first couple Dark Waves and shaving down Fou's long-term damage viable. Once he does that, I feel like victory's within reach.
Sephiroth (FF7) vs. Shania (SH3) - Sure. Wall => survive => lolololol (Shania can't 2HKO post-Wall and the recharge post-double makes it so she ain't getting the turns to do back-to-back-doubles).

Millenia (G2) vs. Nel Zelpher (SO3) - Doesn't G2 have storebought freeze immunity or something akin to that, to make matters worse? I'm pretty sure I see Freezing Daggers as turn 2 to begin with, so it doesn't matter A TON, but.
X (MMX:CM) vs. Lyon (Suiko5) - sure

Lich (FF1) vs. Roy (FE6) - Yeah sure. Hold is a win.
CHAMELEON MAN (WA3) vs. Kazan (Legaia 2) - I don't really remember Tonfa Man.

Natan (SH3) vs. Guile (CC) - I s'pose? I do think Natan does better at the consistent offense thing.

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Tournaments / Re: RPGVO 2022 Round 3: Losers' Pools 1, Double Dragon Godlike

« on: September 05, 2022, 01:03:13 PM »

Cloud of Darkness (FF3) vs. Ryu (BoF3) - Ryu's just faster.
Mewtwo (PKMN) vs. Yuri Volte Hyuga (SHs) - I don't think any of the Yuris has much of a case against RBY Mewtwo. Open with Amnesia => explosions works against both, and they can't really stop this from happening with the one turn they get.
Ryu (BoF2) vs. Sephiroth (FF7) - Paralysis, yeah.

Naoto Shirogane (P4) vs. Edward Geraldine (FF4) - No idea where this "Naoto ID has to be turn one against Edge" stuff is coming from (besides, her ID is turn one with her default setup anyway, it's like 70-75%, P4 ID was the most accurate in the series by far). Miori Shirt makes her evade around 80%, and while it lowers her ID to turn two against average, Edge's sleep is like turn three at best against that evade. Also, since MDef factors into status resistance in FF4 and Edge is horrible at it, it may as well be turn one ANYWAY.
Ness (Earthbound) vs. Ike (FEs) - Yep.
Meliadoul Tingel (FFT) vs. X (MMX:CM) - I'll bite just because Meliadoul base slugging is so -bad-.
Vayne Aurelius (MK) vs. Margulis (XS2) - Sure.

Ashley Winchester (WA2) vs. Squall Leonhart (FF8) - I think Squall just 2HKOs first. Ashley's not super great.
Kent (FE7) vs. Koromaru (P3) - Maragidyne deals with the counters and Koro's modest evade handles the rest on average, yeah.
Crono (CT) vs. Stocke (RH) - Crono has fire resistance, but I think the real problem here is that even Stocke's kinda shoddy healing gives Crono serious issues. Crono misses the 3HKO on Stocke to begin with on both durabilities, which is a bad start. I suppose it makes the match worth thinking about to some degree, but not anything more.
Chrom (FE:A) vs. Chameleon Man (WA3) - Tonfa saves the day.

Thief (FF5) vs. Paula (EB) - Wow. You know you're special when you're a physical fighter who fails to outslug Paula.
Natan (SH3) vs. Pikachu (PKMN) - Not much fails to 2HKO Pikachu, and I'm not sure if Natan's even below the 3HKO to average threshold.
Jogurt (ShF1) vs. Zell Dincht (FF8) - Overlord!

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Tournaments / Re: Futurama type tournament- finals.

« on: May 27, 2022, 05:43:48 PM »

Yuna (FFX) vs Cidolfas Orlandu (FFT) - Twinks for offense, goes first and should land the OHKO because Yuna pdur is pretty junky.

Lassic (PS4) vs Freyjadour Falenas (S5) - If you presume Frey hits weakness on Lassic, he actually should 4HKO at worst, because two Crimson Skies alone will hit for roughly 3.15x PC HP. However, this means he needs to double Lassic at least twice and he has only five charges on Light of Day: this wouldn't be enough for Hugo, whose healing was actually pretty dang fast, and it so won't be for Frey, who actually is kinda slow and not all that much faster than Lassic to begin with! To make matters worse, his mdur is actually below average (and S5 magic defense is very potent) unless he procs a magic resist, which... actually doesn't save him from being 2HKOed at all if it doesn't proc twice in a row! If you don't allow full levels on Royal Paradise and Untold Clarity, this may get even worse.

And no, Frey doesn't have Dark-resisting equipment. This could be a very different fight if he did.

Thief (male) (FFT) vs Dorothea Arnault (FETH) - Oh boy, charmed characters can still counter an enemy under the status, which... uh... is very, very bad for Thief, since Dorothea can't hit herself with any of her abilities. That and I may very well see Charm odds being affected by Doro's own rather high Charisma stat, which doesn't do Thief any favors. Considering Thief can only ever win if he lands Death Sentence to begin with (he will -never- outpace Renewal), uh yeah.

22

Tournaments / Re: Futurama type tournament- semifinals. Will thief's reign of terror be stopped?

« on: May 20, 2022, 10:15:33 PM »

Reicher Wallach (MK2) vs Yuna (FFX) - Yeah, Anima AND Magus Sisters are a bit too much.
Myria (BoF3) vs Cidolfas Orlandu (FFT) - I'm pretty sure Orlandu can block all of the relevant statuses and they're pretty well matched for speed otherwise.

Rabbid Luigi (Mario Rabbids) vs Lassic (PS4) - EVIL EYE CLAIMS A VICTIM. Lassic 2HKOs with Weaken'd+non-Weaken'd Another Gate, so, as soon as Sleep lasts for two turns, it's game. And Rabbid Luigi's offense sucks, so that's definitely happening.
Frejyadour Falenas (S5) vs Stella (Brig:LoR) - Frey is both reasonably durable to physicals and somewhat good at parrying, so I don't think Stella has much of an argument for a victory, the odds just aren't in her favor. And his 2HKO is pretty sound.

Ophilia Clement (Octopath) vs Thief (male)(FFT) - STEAL HEART? REALLY?
Cecil Harvey (FF4) vs Dorothea Arnault (FETH) - Uhhhh this is kind of a trainwreck, isn't it? After factoring in Renewal's constant regen, Cecil actually 6HKOs Doro and she uh 5HKOs back with Hexblade before you factor in counters and she goes first. So, yeah, she -would- outslug Cecil... buuuut healing. HOWEVER, his healing erases roughly one Doro turn while making him lose over a full swing of his of progress as well, so this actually goes on for a long time, doesn't it. EDIT: Wait, Silver Swords aren't even FORGED. Nevermind, I probably would allow a THIRD Silver no strings attached. Good lord, Cecil. Though I should have expected no less from mr. I need to double to not get munched alive by fucking Flayn.

23

Tournaments / Re: Futurama type tournament- hammer time!

« on: May 13, 2022, 11:12:08 PM »

Loki (VP1) vs Myria (BoF3) - Yeah, I think so, since I do see Myria 3-2ing average.
Elc (AtL2) vs Cidolfas Orlandu (FFT) - I think Orlandu's breaks really do a number on Elc. His durability is going to HELL after he gets his shinies broken, and I'm positive Orlandu's faster, so he already starts at a net gain.

Daos (Lufia 2) vs Freyjadour Falenas (S5) - sure why not

Mario (Mario Rabbids) vs Nergal (FE7) - Heck, Jump+doubled Mario shots under M-Power deal 83% PC HP, which is certainly above what I see Nergal's effective pdur as. This is a piece of cake.

Cecil Harvey (FF4) vs Shu (AtL2) - I don't even think any of Shu's physical-based status are relevant here (the ones that could scare Cecil get immuned and all). Time Bomb is a really difficult called shot to use here, especially since the healing largely undoes it long-term, and past that, Shu's damage is abysmal. Cecil's also having a really bad time dealing damage, but he doesn't have to win a slugfest here. Very sad.
Primrose Azelhart (Octopath) vs Dorothea Arnault (FETH) - Renewal and counters make this really ugly. Primrose may not even get to a 3BP turn and she's not getting any damage to stick outside those.

24

Tournaments / Re: Futurama type tournament- other half of the field

« on: May 07, 2022, 10:14:08 PM »

Esmeralda (Octopath) vs Loki (VP1) - Four shield and probably higher than 50% chance to slam that Holy weakness before she gets a turn? Oh dear. I'm not even sure if I respect her surviving an Indiscriminate and a Dragon Orb turn, tbh, which basically kills her chances right there.
Rhea (FE3H) vs Myria (BoF3) - Do we even -have- numbers for Rhea? Also, are we talking specific Rhea forms here? Since she has two legal forms and one she obviously wants.
Elc (AtL2) vs Profound Darkness (PS4) - PD does -not- have MDef worth noting to deal with Elc's Divide even before it gets buffed. I suppose he may have some problems to close the deal near the end and the fourth form can dispel, but I suspect that, by the time Divide is no longer full healing Elc, he's already about one or two hits away from killing her. Not having actual HP buffers is a bummer for PD.

Felix Hugo Fraldarius (FE3H) vs Daos (Lufia 2) - Ouch, Daos OHKOs with Thunder and I think Felix doesn't quite 2HKO him back even if he dodges once. Considering Felix evade isn't turn one... yeah.
Stella (Brig:LoR) vs Serge (CC) - Melee damage against Stella rarely goes well for the opposing party. The White weakness barely even matters, she goes first, counters to me and that's... pretty much it. If you see her getting off a Dragon's Destruction turn two, this gets -ugly-.


Lysithea von Ordelia (FETH) vs Squall Leonhart (FF8) - EDIT: Huh, Squall DOES OHKO. Nevermind.
Mario (Mario Rabbids) vs Claire "Lightning" Farron (FF13) - Mario actually pressures Lightning really hard, he heal-locks her with his base damage - which she may well not even fully heal! - and any time he hits a Hero Sight after a M-Power turn (by way of proccing Bounce), he just gets Lightning killed pretty hard. It's quite possible she can't actually get to a third M-Power cycle alive even if Bounce never procs during an oversight turn, since M-Power turns do outpace her healing - Mario's constantly gaining ground.

Flayn (FETH) vs Cecil Harvey (FF4) - Oh. This trainwreck. So, yeah: if Cecil doesn't double Flayn, he cannot win at all because he can't break her regen: he only 3HKOs and the fight's over if she lands a Cutting Gale crit after her own turn. This said... I'm not sure I see her avoiding that double, 19 AS is a good six points below average rounded up and Cecil's only 88% average speed. In that case, she actually has to resort to Nosferatu to stay alive and that's not a very good prospect. Frozen Lance also gets resisted by Cecil, which is a baaaaad sign. EDIT: Yeah, I think assuming Cecil doubles is reasonable. Though it speaks volumes to his issues that he -needs- to double to handle Flayn.
Shu (AtL2) vs Locke Cole (FF6) - Sure, I'll bite Dhyer's logic, especially considering I certainly see Shu countering.
Primrose Azelhart (Octopath) vs Noel Chandler (SO2) - Yeah, I still allow Allure summons and good lord, is Noel's offense appalingly bad. He has a painfully slow 6HKO against PRIMROSE and I think the chip damage from the calls actually put a bit too much pressure in conjunction with Primrose's 3BP turns.
Dorothea Arnault (FETH) vs Jane Maxwell (ACF) - Jane does not like the counters and Dorothea has the damage edge to begin with. If Jane even doubles, that just normalizes their damage in Doro's favor anyway, and I'm pretty sure Renewal just goddamn walls Jane to begin with.

25

Tournaments / Re: Futurerama style tournament round 2- because we all deserve Kain vs Thief

« on: May 05, 2022, 03:12:48 PM »

Godlike:

Melfice (G2) vs Reicher Wallach (MK2) - Reicher's timed spheres and concrete durability are way too much for Melfice to handle. I'm not even sure how much credit I give to his evasion against Reicher given how limited it is in-game.
Rudo Marco (Brig) vs Yuna (FFX) - 120% accuracy on Clean Military Rule... I don't think it's quite enough to make Yuna evasion turn 2 unless I go by straight subtraction here? But I don't think it matters, I believe Yuna's faster than Rudo going by threat range even to me and that's game.

Rabbid Luigi (Mario Rabbids) vs Red (SaGa) - This is actually kind of ugly because Red's best shot here is trying to ID Rabbid Luigi via DeadEnd on turns where he can't use Super Barrier, which is... jesus, something like turn six? Seven? Even with Red's evade, this feels too much, especially when almost half of Rabbid Luigi's admittedly junky offense isn't even evadable. Landing a two-rounding on a double is mostly out of the cards as well, since he nearly THIRDS Red's damage as a rule of thumb.
Lassic (PS4) vs Hugo (S3) - Yeah, Hugo doesn't have the resource depth to deal with this. Four charges of Healing Wind ain't cutting it and Hugo's True Fire Rune spellcasting, at least for the big spells, is almost as slow as Lassic at best (IIRC, the L4 is actually SLOWER than he is and the L3 isn't much better. And Lassic has over 3.5x PC HP), so it gets very risky.

Hahn Mahlay (PS4) vs Guy (Lufia 2) - This is a lol if I have ever seen one. Hahn has more ways to win this fight than he can shake his stick at and Guy can do approximately zilch against it all.

Ophilia Clement (OT) vs Setzer Gabianni (FF6) - EDIT: Trump is turn five? Yeah, this changes things considerably, Ophilia just wins in this case. And Fixed Dice continues not to really be an option.
Thief (male)(FFT) vs Kain Highwind (FF4) - Jesus, Thief is actually faster and outdamages Kain... while having just about the same durability. If Kain runs Blood Spear, then he very likely gets outpaced by fucking DEATH SENTENCE (yeah, Blood Spear damage is just really sad, that accuracy just... jesus).