Mmph. Gone back and checked over the Yoshi stuff. Surprised how people aren't seeing Smodge as the worst offender during yesterday's debacle, or perhaps more that Kiro in particular is attributing... logic... to his arguments.
Huh? In my line of questioning to Yoshi, I'm trying to understand why Yoshi was putting the Smodge case forward. Yoshi is claiming Smodge's style looks like railroading or something, and is not talking about his actual content. Trying to get a straight answer from Yoshi on what content specifically, like clarifying what were Smodge's "utterly pointless sections" and what else about Smodge's opinions that looked like they were wishy-washy.
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Moving on though, I don't know how much I should read into this, but time to consider if Scum tried to do damage control when Tonfa's impending modkill was announced. This is working under a major assumption though that Tonfa did not announce early to his buddies he was going to let himself be modkilled rather than replaced.
@Mod: Are scum allowed to communicate with each other at any time this game or at Night only?So the modkill is announced at #193 and only Alex and Soppy have voted Bard; no votes on Alex yet. The other wagons at 2 are Kilga and Yoshi. Soppy and Smodge are at 1. What I am looking for is how/whether Scum tried to prop up other wagons, knowing that Tonfa is going to die and at least Bardiche was in some danger. Notable actions to follow:
#194: Bard votes Alex for his first vote
#203: Tom votes Mage for Mage's first vote
#204: Kiro hits up Bardiche for #3
#207: Mage notes Tonfa will die and doesn't give a solid stance on other cases.
#219: Tom switches from Mage to Smodge for Smodge's second vote.
#223: Glen votes Alex for Alex's second vote.
#231: Rat will consider Glen after Tonfa's MK, notes Smodge going up, votes Alice.
#232: Alice says Glen>Bard>Mage>etc, votes Glen for first vote.
#235: Bard roleclaims Cop.
#236: Yoshi votes Alex, "sees no reason Bard would put his head on the line as a Mafia gambit so early on with next to no clear ulterior motive." Misses the idea that Bard could have been under pressure as the leading wagon. Ties it up 3-3.
#238: Kilga votes Bard, shifts Bard up 4-3.
#240: Tom votes Alex, wagons tied at 4-4.
#242: Rat votes Bard, shifts Bard up 5-4.
#255: Smodge decides to go with the idea that "Lynching Alex makes more logical sense as in worst case scenario we don't lose the town cop AND we gain more information". After a bit of switching, votes Alex (#263), ties 5-5.
#265: Kiro stays on Bardiche.
#266: Glen switches to Bard, Bard up 6-4.
#267: Yoshi hammers.
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I see Mage is really passive after Bard takes the lead at #3. Thing is he looks almost too passive if he were Scum knowing two of his buddies could potentially die on Day 2. I just don't see Scum Mage standing by idly because he should know that doesn't reflect well on him either. It really looks like he played as if he couldn't decide on who would be the next best target and while that could happen if he were either alignment, I think he would have been a little more urgent if he were Scum. Once again, leaning nub Town for me.
Tom decides on Smodge which only inches Smodge up a bit without seriously challenging the Bardiche wagon. He could have gone for Yoshi or Kilga and brought him up to 3. Not entirely seeing why a Scum Tom would choose Smodge also given the above mentioned pressure on Bard. Best I can see Scum Tom doing is trying to set up a different mislynch target, but I dunno. The angle at which he analyzes the Excal wagon to go for Smodge looks decent.
Thing about Glen in his #223, if he's Scum, why go for Alex which only brings him to a tie with Smodge? He could go for Smodge and even mentions near the bottom that the Smodge case puts him up there on his scummy list. All of that takes a 180 when Glen votes Bard near the end in a reversal of the case on Alex. To me, there is no semblance of Scum strategy involved in his actions; heck he backtracks on his main point with Alex's comments about Town's level of play in Day 1 and it's not even looking like a scummy backtrack, more like a nub one. And frankly, he shifted the tie to Bard. Coupled with Kilga's points about Tonfa and Bard attacking Glen in Day 1, I'm really not seeing why Glen would be Scum.
Not getting as much of a read on Rat and Alice, both pushing brand new cases.
After the copclaim, Kilga, Rat, and Glen are movers towards Bard while Yoshi, Tom and Smodge are movers towards Alex. The funny thing is that based on Tom's case on Smodge, I don't see both of them being a scumpair. Why would Scum Tom, who sees Tonfa dying, Bardiche at 3 votes, go after yet another Scumbuddy? THAT would be suicidal.
And regarding Smodge, the thing I dislike most about his decision to vote Alex is that it tries to play the safest route. He was looking at probabilities rather than the context at which the claim makes sense (not really addressing if Bardiche could be trusted in the first place). You could argue that it's not willing to make the hard choices which goes against my personal creed of scumhunting. Try to get it right the first time and stand by it. And willing to take a mislynch for the sake of ore information is scummy thinking.
All of this actually puts Smodge above Tom in my rankings. I'm not sure where Yoshi fits into this whole thing, but the fact Tom is voting Yoshi and Smodge says he would have voted Yoshi is perplexing me a bit. I can agree with the idea that there's potentially bussing going on or that Yoshi is a possible mislynch. I may need to reconsider Kilga and Rat some more as I could see either of them just throwing Bard under the bus as a lost cause. Definitely Kilga more if Yoshi ends up flipping Town.
Want to hear more from Smodge and Yoshi about stuff. Yoshi should take a little time to respond to some of the points made against him. Frankly, "Mage has had enough time to stop being the boneheaded Townie," doesn't mean a thing. You think a person can change that easily midgame? Can be nub from beginning to end, but that doesn't make it the right lynch. As for Smodge, not seeing the Glen case, more elaboration on why he's actually Scum despite doing scummy stuff. Because his unscummy stuff like voting Bard at deadline also needs to be considered. I may decide Smodge is more likely to be Scum than Yoshi and switch my votes depending on the replies.