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I still have no real read on how non-Gen1 forms of Mewtwo fare against Shania but that's a repeat match anyways so whatever.
Light:
Marianne von Edmund (FE3H) vs. Zhuzhen Liu (SH1) - Repeat.
Pools:
Godlike: Magus (CT), Zio (PSIV), Odd Eye (ShF2), Chris Lightfellow (S3), Nel (SO3), Harken (WA:ACF)
Chris = Magus = Zio >>> Odd Eye, Chris beats Magus but Zio has too much offense, Magus tanks Zio, Odd Eye just gets swept by anyone I can vote on.
Heavy: Lyndis (FE7), Maya Schrodinger (WA3), Ryuji Sakamoto (P5), Therion (OT), Stocke (RH), MOMO (XS)
Ryuji can capitalize on the fact that Maya's just not scary enough to him at high HP and Charge+God Hand his way to an OHKO e: and Stocke rues the fact that Ryuji has an Auto-Taru equip to blast past his durability. All his other fights seem bad. He can take an Aeber's Reckoning even if it's boosted by Armor Corrosive, but not if he uses God Hand and Shackle Foe says no to that OHKOing with Charge, sure he can overwrite that with Tarukaja but that's time he can't afford and at any rate AR will still wreck him too badly to do much else and I'd favor Therion if Skull goes for a straight slugfest anyways. Meanwhile Lyn has too much evade even if she misses a 2RKO. Lyn also has too much evade for Therion and Stocke but Calamity Jane probably wrecks her and Therion can AR his way past Maya and Stocke, and Maya probably 3HKOs Stocke first, so...
Lyn = Therion > Maya = Ryuji > Stocke
Middle: Mitsuru Kirijo (P3), Clive Winslett (WA3), Bowser (SMRPG), Albel Nox (SO3), Marianne (FE3H), Zhuzhen (SH1)
Fear wrecks Clive and Marianne too badly but Zhuzhen... yeah think I agree that he scams his way out. Mitsuru gets heal locked after Terrorize but Terrorize can miss and... that probably doesn't actually matter since I'd probably rate Bowser going first under a Zoom Shoes average anyways. Clive capitalizes on Marianne's poor offense too well and heal locks Zhuzhen, but Mitsuru goes first and scrapes a 2HKO under the numbers I use (it's quite close though). Mitsuru... would be able to 2HKO Zhuzhen but since he has Flames of Fudo to knock her down this doesn't actually matter, toddlers with lit matches beat her. Marianne versus Mitsuru is rather pathetic, but Marianne's damage is terrible (and she can't even use Frozen Lance) and Mitsuru can probably power through anyways. Meanwhile, we all know by know how badly Zhuzhen struggles agaisnt Marianne. So!
Bowser > Clive = Mitsuru = Zhuzhen > Marianne