RPGDL Season 59, Week 5 - Where Lady solos Heavy out of disgust due to Moppy.

[Jo'ou Ranbu]

Godlike

Lady (SH3) vs Rupert Dandrige (XF)
Violetta (G3) vs Profound Darkness (PS4)

Heavy

Belcoot (S5) vs Lady Harken (WA1)
Jowy Atreides (S2) vs Odin (VP2)

Middle

Tohru Adachi (Pers4) vs Meganium (PKMN)
Gerik (FE8) vs Arche Klein (ToP)

Light

Amy Sage (PS2) vs Kain Highwind (FF4)
Priscilla (FE7) vs Meg (Suikos)

[Dark Holy Elf]

Godlike

Lady (SH3) vs Rupert Dandrige (XF): Takes him out in one good combo, and Rupert's opening turn of damage isn't scaring her.
Violetta (G3) vs Profound Darkness (PS4): As my LLG woes can attest to, the bitch has too much HP.

Heavy

Belcoot (S5) vs Lady Harken (WA1): The anti-physical stuff seems a bit too spoilerful here. Belcoot has a 2HKO but the first attack faces a 60% parry rate and 75% counter rate so it's probably more like 3 attacks, and that's giving Harken time and attacks he can't afford.
Jowy Atreides (S2) vs Odin (VP2): This is an easy OHKO to me, but even with Odin HP and Spiritual Lancer OHKO hype, Jowy will always be able to chip around Spiritual Lancer and 2HKO unless you see him as having over 2PC or something similarly crazy. If Odin has less than 1300 S2 HP, Jowy just OHKOs; if he's in the 1300-1600 range, he uses physical + Hungry Friend; if he's in the 1600-2000 range, Jowy uses Piercing One + Hungry Friend; if 2000-2600, two Hungry Friends.

Light

Priscilla (FE7) vs Meg (Suikos): Lakes will be silenced.

[superaielman]

Lady, PD

Belcoot- WA1o Harken sucks.
Jowy- If I get Moppy/Harken finals I am writing in a vote for Dario instead.

Adachi- Fire weakness is bad times for Meganium.

Meg- SL

Kain/Amy depends entirely on her ability to drop blood lance below the repair level (She needs to more than halve it's damage) without running out of TP. I need to hit up Twil and have him calc it out. I think it's her fight, but... sadly close.

[Jo'ou Ranbu]

Violetta (G3) vs Profound Darkness (PS4) - HP HP HP.

Belcoot (S5) vs Lady Harken (WA1) - Sure.
Jowy Atreides (S2) vs Odin (VP2) - [insert comment about 3x overkill with Hungry Fiend here]

Tohru Adachi (Pers4) vs Meganium (PKMN) - I'm not sure Adachi 2HKOs with Fire, 4HKO damage at base against above average durability. THIS SAID, Meganium 3HKOs Adachi, so the ID gets to work its magic, I think.
Gerik (FE8) vs Arche Klein (ToP) - Gerik needs a 2HKO to win, and... *checks.* He juuuuuuust misses it, unless I'm kinda overrating Arche's pdur. Close, though.

Amy Sage (PS2) vs Kain Highwind (FF4) - Wow.
Priscilla (FE7) vs Meg (Suikos) - Noisy Mountains.

[Tide]

wait...
wait...........
ODIN is in the semis?
...what is this I don't even

Heavy
Belcoot (S5) vs Lady Harken (WA1) - Anti-physical spoilery goodness here. Unless Falcon rune ignored weapon blocking in S5? But even then, would probably high 2HKO, which MEANS nasty Maximum Risk coming up.

Middle
Tohru Adachi (Pers4) vs Meganium (PKMN) - Kneejerk. Adachi can probably mix fire/ice/ID as needed

[Monkeyfinger]

Violetta (G3) vs Profound Darkness (PS4): 2HKOs and doubleturns the first two forms. PD's formshifts eat her turns. The third form is considerably more durable (it has over half PD's HP), so Violetta opens with runner there and takes one hit. That gets her 5 attacks, probably, which I kneejerk is good enough, plus the possibility of it being 6 instead.

Middle

Gerik (FE8) vs Arche Klein (ToP): Can't actually vote but shouldn't a killer crit OHKO?

[Jo'ou Ranbu]

The ID is turn two and a crit is turn three at best. Don't think that's good enough odds. Dhyer considers it turn four or something, though, which would give it to Gerik and crits honestly would be irrelevant.

[Yoshiken]

Tohru Adachi (Pers4) vs Meganium (PKMN) - ID does its job well enough here. Think Meganium can effectively block everything else well enough to survive, and can outheal after a Light Screen, but... stalling is definitely not something it wants to be doing.

[Sei]

Heavy

Belcoot (S5) vs Lady Harken (WA1)- ACF Harken loves evadable physical fighters.

Light

Priscilla (FE7) vs Meg (Suikos)- Meg had a Water rune and Level 4 charges? How did she stay in Light so long? <<;

[Jo'ou Ranbu]

Tell me how often Meg gets in. >_>

[SnowFire]

Lady and Belcoot.  Lady would arguably have some issues with Rupert in-game because she's got huge GT stuff that wipes out Rupert's allies and speeds him up!  But yeah this match is kind of death for Rupert in the DL.  Even if he could somehow survive Lady's opening combo - which he can't - Lady would just open with a chip that didn't power up Maximum Risk very much.

As for everyone's favorite hero of the Aesir...

Jowy Atreides (S2) vs Odin (VP2): This is an easy OHKO to me, but even with Odin HP and Spiritual Lancer OHKO hype, Jowy will always be able to chip around Spiritual Lancer and 2HKO unless you see him as having over 2PC or something similarly crazy. If Odin has less than 1300 S2 HP, Jowy just OHKOs; if he's in the 1300-1600 range, he uses physical + Hungry Friend; if he's in the 1600-2000 range, Jowy uses Piercing One + Hungry Friend; if 2000-2600, two Hungry Friends.

Okay obviously an uphill fight for Odin but the last HP-range is a win for Odin.  Checking the stat topic, Hungry Friend does ~1350 damage.  If Piercing One + HF does not kill and Jowy is forced to use HF+HF, then he eats Spiritual Lancer because Odin's limit is at 50% HP.  So, uh, Odin just needs > 1.65 PCHP rather than > 2.0 PCHP to win.  Or to challenge Jowy to Suikoden duel where he can beat the snot out of the whiner and screw the good ending.  Yeah I like that argument for Odin winning better.

[Jo'ou Ranbu]

* Jo'ou Ranbu sets Snowfire on fire.

In a more serious note, keep in mind Jowy doesn't need to 2HKO Odin, so he has a more leisurely chipping streak. Also, I thought Jowy had fairly decent pdur to boot.

[Dark Holy Elf]

Right, my bad on the last HP range there.

Also, somehow hyping a vote for Odin > Jowy on character grounds instead of gameplay grounds is even more painful to me. Good job, man.

[SnowFire]

I've already submitted a vote for Jowy > Odin but you never know.  The hilarity of the reactions to an Odin championship run would be a tempting lure indeed to switch.

[Jo'ou Ranbu]

It'd be the first time a Light-level dueller would reach the Heavy finals, that's for sure.

[SnowFire]

Insert VP1 Lezard in Godlike hype here.

Actually, that'd be an amusing match.  Obviously I'd vote Odin but what would the Jo'ou vote be for Boss VP1 Lezard vs. Odin?

[Taishyr]

Heavy

Belcoot (S5) vs Lady Harken (WA1) - WA1o Harken = lolwut.

Middle

Tohru Adachi (Pers4) vs Meganium (PKMN) - One Mega sets up Safeguard, one tosses up Light Screen. Adachi damage is now pathetic. He's forced to spam ID at this point... and that doesn't kill the four fast enough. Mega swarm wins.
Gerik (FE8) vs Arche Klein (ToP) - I don't know. Might abstain here.

Light

Priscilla (FE7) vs Meg (Suikos)

[Dhyerwolf]

Godlike

Lady (SH3) vs Rupert Dandrige (XF)
Violetta (G3) vs Profound Darkness (PS4)

Heavy

Belcoot (S5) vs Lady Harken (WA1)
Jowy Atreides (S2) vs Odin (VP2)

Middle

Tohru Adachi (Pers4) vs Meganium (PKMN)

Light

Amy Sage (PS2) vs Kain Highwind (FF4)- I think...
Priscilla (FE7) vs Meg (Suikos)