Snowfire: BoF1 hold has a visible effect on enemy animation, and it wears off at the end of the round... i.e. before you choose your action, you can see if you need to re-apply it or not. Thus, when Nina is faster than her opponent, she can Hold-lock them, and Hold works 100% of the time (and Lucina's evade doesn't work against pure status in-game).
Lucina vs Caineghis (FE10): That physical durability is too good.
Lucina vs Wugui (SH1): I tend to see Wugui as a hair below average speed. Also, Game of Death can miss, if rarely, and I don't think Wugui has any evade, so if it is a coinflip for who goes first then Lucina should still win on average.
Lucina vs Lugia (PKMN): Lucina's evade drops Lugia to a 3HKO, but he's still much faster... but not so fast that Lucina fails to double him, and thus she 2HKOs. I guess he does 4-3, though, so if Recover lets him survive a second Lucina turn... blah, skill activations give me headaches. Edit: Yeah, Aether probably tips this.
Lucina vs Odd Eye (SF2): Gut says he can survive a Lucina turn, and unload with Odd Eye Beams / kill with a physical. The chance of sleep also helps.
Lucina vs Beatrix (FF9): Probably. Beatrix can blind Lucina but takes too long to put her away. blah blah no I don't give temps credit for learning spells sooner than maingame PCs
Lucina vs Zerase (S5): They slice! And dice!
Lucina vs Momo (BoF3): And slice and dice and slice!
Lucina vs Strago (FF6): Slice slice slice...
Lucina vs Lawfer (VP1): Dice dice dice...
Lucina vs Nina (BoF1): HOLD IT!
Lucina vs Kain (TAY): Okay, thought Lucina was sweeping the bottom half but guess not. For Kain... Lucina's 4 swings fuck over Blink pretty badly. If you see Haste shutting off doubles then Kain can probably take this but I definitely don't, Haste making someone literally 4x as good can go die.
Hugo vs Caineghis (FE10): Caineghis' low res means that Wind of Sleep is 85% or better here, so he can reliably get in two shots. Two boosted, true fire rune shots. See ya.
Hugo vs Wugui (SH1): Hugo not damaging enough for this.
Hugo vs Lugia (PKMN): Lugia is faster and largely mocks Hugo's offence and status, but has some problems putting Hugo away since his evade is so high... that said mm, Surf (which I allow) helps a lot, as it's 15 shots of 3HKO, or 2HKO with Rain Dance. So I think Lugia uses Rain Dance then starts 2HKOing, forcing Hugo to heal, and he only has five shots. Safeguard can be used to ward off Wind of Sleep, and Rain Dance can be reapplied, so sooner or later this works... Lugia is far too sturdy for to fear a lucky physical chain. (Recover of course is the fourth move.)
Hugo vs Odd Eye (SF2): Uh hmm. Yeah Odd Eye Beam is too much, I think, since Hugo is two-rounded except on turns where he sneaks in a double.
Hugo vs Beatrix (FF9): WoS.
Hugo vs Zerase (S5): Faster, can tank a hit if necessary.
Hugo vs Momo (BoF3): Faster slugger.
Hugo vs Strago (FF6): WoS.
Hugo vs Lawfer (VP1): Evade. And WoS.
Hugo vs Nina (BoF1): oh god, initiative headaches. Well, the most favourable view is just to see Nina as faster when doing anything but attacking. So she opens with Wall to not get owned. Hugo attacks, 2HKOing of course. This is... a heal lock of some sort. Pretty sure it's a heal-lock even after Fort, so I can't see how Nina can do anything at all here. Also Hugo's immune to Hold! Nina never gets a chance to cast Idle (if it would even help that much) because she loses to Wind of Sleep if she ever gives Hugo a turn without Wall up.
Hugo vs Kain (TAY): Think Hugo's Continuous Attack skill nerfs what respect I might have had for Blink here. Also could TAY even block sleep and/or ID?
Raze vs Caineghis (FE10): Yeah no.
Raze vs Wugui (SH1): Wow that's a lot of spoiling.
Raze vs Lugia (PKMN): I'd be stunned otherwise. So much faster in particular.
Raze vs Odd Eye (SF2): Should overwhelm.
Raze vs Beatrix (FF9): Hmm Beatrix can't actually block holy, surprising. As such I'm not sure how to vote.
Raze vs Zerase (S5): Probably.
Raze vs Momo (BoF3): Whatevs, copying Snow here.
Raze vs Strago (FF6): Sour Mouth then heal.
Raze vs Lawfer (VP1): Justice Stream: so badass it literally kills Raze twice over.
Raze vs Nina (BoF1): I see nothing in the list of MK2 statusblockers which remotely resembles paralysis, so bye.
Raze vs Kain (TAY): Well Raze cuts through blink like it's nothing, so uh Kain slugging check time? I'm not too comfortable on either of these duellers and the people I trust to analyse MK2 matches haven't played TAY so uhh yeah abstain.
Hugo 8-3
Lucina 8-3
Raze 2-7 (could go as high as 4-7 easily enough, but... yeah. To be fair to him the other two are H/G level)
