Right, upgrade/downgrade pools! I swear I'd be all for a tourney that was only comprised of those.
HH/GL:TimeLord, Reicher, Emelious, Lavos, Chris, Shania
Well, let's start with TimeLord, since he's easy: bosses make him explode, PCs explode to him. That's a 2-3. Reicher... hm. Lavos needing a turn to get started is really bad against him. The damage spreading out due to multiple targets once he summons the bots -is- a thing, but that quickly fixes itself due to one of them being horrendously fragile and Reicher quickly getting some potent MT as his HP goes down anyway. The durability's kinda hard to surpass for Lavos, really. Emelious, honestly depends on how I feel about him dodging -all- of Reicher's skillset, but -all- of Reicher's skillset is evadable in-game. So yeah, that doesn't fly for now. Chris and Shania get munched in much the same way (god, Reicher even hits a weakness, that's ugly as sin). I mean, Chris' anti-physical game does annoy Reicher, but that's waaaaaaaaaaay, waaaaaaaaaaaaay too much offense piling up from ten billion directions. Lavos vs. Emelious feels like a foregone conclusion with Lavos needing to summon his bits in order to actually hack into Emelious, so yeah. Comparable speed and durability on Emelious close the deal. Chris gets her ass spoiled by Shadow Wave. Shania... well, initially I thought "what stops her from pulling off Xorn strats against Emelious?", but there's a wee little problem: he 3-2s Shania and still 2HKOs with Spirit Wail through Sanlittobel and Shining Zephyr. If she could at least -lap- Emelious (since she -does- become faster than him with Sanlittobel, but the recharge on SH3 speed buffs ain't pretty), maybe. Lavos, on the other hand, should do fine against the PCs. And Chris already beats Shania.
Emelious: 5-0
Reicher: 4-1
Lavos: 3-2
TimeLord: 2-3
Chris: 1-4
Shania: 0-5
LH/HH:Citan, Wren, Layna, Rei, Sharon
Citan manhandles everybody but Layna in this pool. Wren gets eventually overwhelmed by AP storing + unleashing on a triple (and Citan -does- have the healing to keep that afloat until the fatal turnspread), Rei and Sharon just get outsped and 2HKOed. Layna makes it through by virtue of counters which Citan -has- to trigger. Since he uh 4HKOs Layna and she 3HKOs at base until the limit kicks in, which just splatters Citan all over the floor... and she could even -buff- to put even more pressure on Citan. Courage, for instance, would mean Citan has to spend 2/3 of his turns -healing-, because that makes Layna rip over 70% of his HP with a thwack. Anyhow, Wren also loses to Layna: go first, Enliven => pressure until she has the stamina to use limits, at which point Courage => limit just tears even Wren to pieces, and he just doesn't have the damage to kill Layna first. Which means Layna also chomps the rest of the pool: Sharon explodes to Layna's counters and Rei can't possibly stop Layna from getting two turns. Sharon already beats Rei, who cries in the corner. Very straight-forward.
Layna: 4-0
Citan: 3-1
Wren: 2-2
Sharon: 1-3
Rei: 0-4
M/LH:Sofia, Mia, Steiner, Alfina, Flay, Ulrika
Oh boy. Sofia relies on Sleepmore being turn 1 on Mia, since she two-rounds and Sofia can't possibly overcome that otherwise - and even then, she's not out of the woods, since Sleep needs to last three turns total or work twice. Given this, I could go either way, but yeah. Against Steiner it's pathetically close because of Lightning resistance on Steiner's end + Iai Strike - oh, and Steiner's faster... come to think of it, actually, I'm suspecting this doesn't work out for Sofia, I have my doubts she can keep Steiner from getting four turns or so (she 6HKOs Steiner with Thordain, what the -hell-). Maybe if I had played DQ4DS. Against Alfina... uh. Can she squeeze three Meteor Strikes after three Stun Forces? Feels like that's what the match hinges on, though maybe she can squeeze a bit more for me, I still allow full SP... but then, she'll need it, of course, higher averages. So, if she could squeeze four of them in-between, maybe this works out. But not sure. Flay wrecks her, Defense Down+Buster Star completely wreck her and she's -slower- than Flay even turn one. Oh, and she can't chip-2HKO through Last Stand range. She performs almost as badly against Ulrika because of Magic Hammer, which turns her into Ragnar-lite. I'll split the difference between Mia and Alfina and say she loses to the first and beats the other, though. As for Mia ... well. Steiner 2HKOs her and probably can do it with MT, so does she two-round herself? *Mathmathmath.* ... no. She'd need a lucky Astra here, and no respect for that as always. Alfina survives a turn and can shut down Mia's offense, at least. Flay uh laps Mia by using Raiden Charge turn one and OHKOs with Screwdriver, along with being able to survive three Mia attacks. Ulrika... OHKOs with Intent to Destroy. What the fuck, fail less at taking hits, Mia. Steiner... I think he can beat Alfina, he halves Earth and she deals little to no damage to him while he's paralyzed, and my kneejerk is to say Holy Circle doesn't keep him at bay. Against Flay, I think he just gets outslugged: he doesn't even 2HKO Flay and Buster Star, as usual, is pretty brutal, especially post-Defense Down. Against Ulrika... heh. He doesn't 2HKO her, for starters, and if I see his skillset affected by her Silence, which does shut down physical skills, he's utterly screwed. Even if I don't, though, this isn't a very easy match for him: Healing Echo staves away the 3HKO (might even turn him down from a -4HKO-), he doesn't like the other status much (Slow is a possible gamebreaker here) and, though she -does- have trouble killing him, she has a shot even so, as he can't put her away from Last Stand range. So, I'll put this as a tiebreaker and hand Ulrika the win. My kneejerk regarding Alfina is that she loses to both Flay and Ulrika - Flay she just can't even put away from Last Stand range and he has zero worries about Holy Circle, since Buster Star shreds her. Ulrika opening with one of Healing Echo or Elemental Barrier likely crumbles Alfina's gameplan to dust. And then, there's Ulrika vs. Flay, which ends in his favor. Ulrika performing this well in general just weirds me out, but maybe she just isn't a Middle. Flay isn't one either, but that we already knew.
Flay: 5-0
Ulrika: 4-1
Steiner: 3-2
Sofia: 1-4
Mia: 1-4
Alfina: 1-4
LI/Miriel, Sacred Slayer, Ace, Jane, Onix, Nina
Well! Miriel beats Sacred Slayer, I've seen that match on Proving Grounds before. Ace... dear god, he 2HKOs Sage Miriel with his physical off above average speed and she can't 2HKO back. Jane can't possibly deal with Miriel's counters, on the other hand, and if she fails to double, she just doesn't stand a chance. Onix loses to Miriel the same way he loses to fucking Maribelle, and Nina eats a nice 2HKO to the face along with not even 3HKOing if she wants to dodge counters. Nice start. Sacred Slayer vs. Ace is pretty awful: suppose her best bet is casting Fragile => Sanctify and healing... but Ace damage be sorta spiky and he's obviously faster, along with having Stun odds to tilt it out. I'll honestly await for Elfboy. Sacred Slayer vs. Jane is pathetic, she wins this by virtue of an ID crit because Sacred Slayer damage is the worst thing ever. I -believe- Sacred Slayer is faster than Onix, too, so this at least saves me some trouble (Fragile => 2HKO with Sanctify because Onix mdur what the hell). Nina3 is, well, Nina3 and has to face SS's amazing mdur, which doesn't pan out against that much healing, even though 6-7HKOing Nina with physicals is ONE HELL OF A FEAT and Nina also likely gets to slow her down further with Blunt and Slow. Ace deals poorly with Jane in spite of her horrible damage because of evade, of course. Occasional Mystic Potion Berries should tip this in her favor. Onix uh spoils him, I think, you don't really want to go physical with Onix pretty much ever in
. Nina gets 2HKOed and can't 2HKO back. Okay, now for Jane! Against Onix, the evade does it in: troll until she has the FP for Mystic Water/Ice gems and watch the pretty fireworks fly. Nina... uh they 4HKO each other and Jane's faster. Since Nina's stat busts are turn two on average, I don't think they really tip much of anything, especially if Jane builds some FP to use the occasional Potion Berry or two. Onix loses to Nina and that's that.
Miriel: 4-1
Jane: 4-1 (what the)
Ace: 1-3 (Ace vs. SS pending)
Sacred Slayer: 2-2 (Ace vs. SS pending)
Nina: 1-4
Onix: 1-4