If Aria equips a Willpower Gauntlet for turn 1 DW, she deals .54 PCHP damage with it. It goes to .62 PCHP w/ 2x Enhanced Gauntlets but that requires skipping T1 DW. Once she lands it, she can spam 2x Defend -> put in place again for a Silence lock while also defending a lot.
Aria vs. Maria (SO3)
No Paralysis blocker for CTON, although... did multihit attacks in CTON count for multiple hits off the shield? If not, then Early Protection saves the day and Aria might win, since Maria would need to deal >50% of Aria's health, which should only happen with Berserk Energy Burst hype or something.
Aria vs. MOMO (XS3)
Faster, MOMO isn't winning with physicals.
EDIT: Except MOMO blocks Silence, so never mind. Rekt.
Aria vs. Starmie (Pokemon)
Silence vs. Pokemon, always fun, especially since CTON Silence very clearly works on "physical" flavored skills. I guess it'd just turn a Poke off entirely? So for Starmie's 1 turn... uh, there's confusion I guess, but not sure if that does enough reliably. There's also the fact that the default setup has only 5 shots of damage so Aria can hypothetically Defend / Heal her way out of trouble, but I'm not a fan of that particular default. So yeah, eat 1 turn of Starmie, then Silence lock.
Aria vs. Nicholai (SH2)
I'm going to assume that Nicholai blocks Seal because LOL otherwise. Nicholai is ~1.5 PCHP or so by Dhyer's numbers, less via Elf (and definitely Tide!) views of baking in more deadly combos & such... ignoring Defend, seems like Nicholai 2HKOs average, so 3HKOs Aria thanks to Early Protection. So, without Defend hype, that's trouble, Nick just wins first, and outpaces a Ritual Blade healing setup too. With Defend... Aria now cleanly wins if she can 2HKO, and probably hustles out a victory if she 2HKOs w/ the 2x E Gauntlet setup too (= Nick has < 1.24 PCHP). I'm willing to consider Defend at least somewhat, but eh, she needs enough judgment calls happy to give it to the deadly SH2 BOSS.
Aria vs. Lich (FF1)
HOLD being hideously overrated in the DL strikes again.
Aria vs. Holly Whyte (BD)
Aw, crap, what's the maximum stamina in CTON again? If it's 8, Aria's fine, if it's 7, she's in trouble, since she wants to throw 2x Deus Wraths in a row after chipping Holly down. Although honestly... BD bosses have MP but some ludicrous amount, right? Worst comes to worst, Aria's actually infinite stall probably triumphs.
Aria vs. Oracle (FFT)
Oracle immunes Silence.
Aria vs. Yosuke (P4)
No P4, but seems an uphill battle, as I'd be inclined to see CTON skills usually ignoring evasion, so an opening Sukukaja isn't doing a lot here, nor will be basic-physicals only Yosuke.
Aria vs. Cecilia (WAACF)
No ACF, but no equipment so no silence immunity, right? I guess there's CONDITION GREEN but no.
Aria vs. Kresnik (WA4)
Kresnik has locked equipment so no Silence immunity hype here, although I GUESS you can hype him as wearing off Silence extra-fast thanks to a starting Adrenaline Rush. Although if Aria can't power through, we have a genuinely infinite match on our hands.
Aria vs. Elize (ToX)
Seal Charm.
Aria vs. Parry (DQ5)
Aria is *mildly* faster and drops the Silence first.
Azama: Mildly below average speed, but 1.72 PDur, 1.14 MDur, some dodge, & Renewal. You need to deal > .52 PDur a round to outpace Renewal, or > .34 MDur.
Azama vs. Maria (SO3)
Paralysis.
Azama vs. MOMO (XS3)
Heals a lot until tons of Boost Gauge, maybe hastes herself, drops Blood Dancer, busts past Renewal easily. Maybe even just OHKOs with a BD'd Freeze Shock anyway, still kills even if Miracle kicks in.
Azama vs. Starmie (Pokemon)
Starmie will run out of damage and is wasting too many turns having to heal itself after Bolt Naginata counters & Countermagic. Gets worse if you consider Bolt Naginata hitting a weakness.
Azama vs. Nicholai (SH2)
Not enough damage to pace past Renewal.
Azama vs. Lich (FF1)
Lich kills himself if he tries to use Ice2 on Azama, even with counters disabled! Good ol' Countermagic + Renewal. If he uses FAST & buffs his physical attack, he's hitting the wrong defense and doesn't outpace Renewal. A miserable loss.
Azama vs. Holly Whyte (BD)
Check out that 4% crit rate on Iron - and I'm sure L20 Azama will have an even higher crit rate as the battle stalls out.
Azama vs. Oracle (FFT)
High Magic, but only okay Resistance, talks about "Praise Hokote" and the like... yeah, sounds like a High-Faith character to me. Petrify will do the trick
Azama vs. Kresnik (WA4)
Doubled Apoptosis is .31 PDur, and doing that 184% as often as Azama gets turns is .57 PDur worth of damage, so Kresnik DOES outpace Azama's Renewal...! ..very slowly. And this assumes Kresnik doesn't have to spend turns healing or recasting Adrenaline Rush. And he's eating Bolt Naginata counters and dealing with a mild bit of evasion. Even his infinite MP stall game won't work as Azama has that crit rate.
Azama vs. Elize (ToX)
Elize barely outpaces Azama's Renewal, but has stun procs at least... but I doubt they matter. This matchup stalls out until a crit, too. I guess there's Elize Mystic Arte hype, but it's not listed in the topic, so eh.
Azama vs. Parry (DQ5)
Okay. Kabuff up, cast Fizzle until it hits, throwing in full healing if needed. That'll turn off Bolt Naginata counters at least. Heal one last time, then go in. Kazap apparently deals ~.61 Mdur damage. Parry will just barely, barely 3HKO with this baking in Renewal (3x = 1.83 MDur - .68 Renewal = 1.15 MDur, which is fatal). In doing so he'll eat 2 Countermagics and eat 3 Iron Naginata hits. Countermagic means that Parry takes ~.61 damage himself, + ? more from the Naginata - vs. buffed defense, when he has ~.97 PCHP. Oh, and Azama's evasion works vs. magic, and he also has Miracle, so throw in some fails there (although if he evades, it's not SO bad, since Parry won't eat countermagic and can heal back up to try again, MP permitting.). Sheesh. This comes down to DQ5 buffing game hype + duration on Fizzle... Parry needs to reduce average physicals to nearly worthless damage to win this, but that also seems possible. hinode?!
Alen vs. Maria (SO3)
Alen vs. MOMO (XS3)
Alen vs. Starmie (Pokemon)
Alen vs. Nicholai (SH2)
Alen vs. Czar Dragon (SMRPG)
Alen vs. Lich (FF1)
Alen vs. Holly Whyte (BD)
Alen vs. Oracle (FFT)
Alen vs. Yosuke (P4)
Alen vs. Cecilia (WAACF)
Alen vs. Kresnik (WA4)
Alen vs. Elize (ToX)
Alen vs. Parry (DQ5)
Aria: 4-5-1 (but 2 matches I'm not voting that Aria surely wins)
Azama: 6-3-1
