Alyssa (Cosmic Star Heroine) vs Black Fiend (Lunar: Eternal Blue)
https://twitter.com/werezompire/status/981294999504482304Joker (Persona 5) vs Braev Lee (Bravely Default)
Not even sure if Akira will end up being the long-term name, CK! Maybe it will be Ren. Anyways... well, in BD, elemental physicals are fully resisted / blocked by Nulling or Abate effects. And when SMT games do have elemental physicals, it usually treats them as just effects of that element that are based off Str rather than Mag. So Radiant Strike is basically Bless Elemental as far as I'm concerned.
If Joker is restricted to L75 personas base and less, Ongyo-Ki reflects Bless & resists Physical, and also has Firm Stance & Regenerate 3 anyway, so Braev really struggles on damage. On the downside, Ongyo-Ki's damage isn't great without directly spending HP which is bad, but if Braev is restricted at least somewhat to in-game AI and/or punished for free choice, he won't just hang around at 3 BP forever. So gonna presume Joker can find some other Persona with healing & Bless resistance he can switch to when Braev uses his BP-costing physical move if he gets too low.
Middle
Saber (Fire Emblem Echoes: Shadows of Valentia) vs Ninja (Final Fantasy)
I don't think Ninja 2HKOs even after Fast, meaning he needs 4 turns to put this away. And is facing counterattacks. Yeah no. Ninja is pretty bad in Middle (but totally his last DL rank!!1!).
Lux (7th Saga) vs
Natalia (Tales of the Abyss)Yeah, I'll buy Jo'ou. Slowly runs Lux out of MP.
Marth (Fire Emblem Shadow Dragon) vs
Lyon (Fire Emblem: Sacred Stones)Marth of the 0 Res might just get flat OHKOd here. Even if he doesn't, he absolutely must 3HKO since his Falchion healing game isn't strong enough to stop a 2HKO.... although he should probably manage the 3HKO, sure. Anyway, hinode's topic lists Marth as +3 HP vs. average but -5 Res vs. average. OK lists Naglfar as 54 Power base, vs. 45 HP & 15 Res average (his) or 42 HP & 13.5 Res average (my lower-level topic). That's 60 base Power required to OHKO average for OK's averages or 55 Power for me. So vs. my averages, Lyon barely manages the OHKO, while he barely misses it vs. OK's averages. On the other hand, my averages don't include stuff like stat boosters or Resistance buffs, so who knows. Gonna go with Lyon but could go either way.
Light
Sherri Phoraena (Tactics Ogre: Let Us Cling Together) vs Bowser (Super Mario RPG: Legend of the Seven Stars)
No SMRPG, but Sherri is actually a bit fast, Dhyer. TOPSP where lower numbers are better and all.
I suspect her plan is a bit rocky here anyway even with her getting the drop. With the base stat topic interp of items but no prep, she can cast Shackle turn 2 presumably, then if that hits huff some more herbs or MP-drain, then... well that's the tricky part. When Shackle wears off Bowser will presumably complete the 2HKO, so she needs to stack some other status like Sleep, but that can miss, and also costs MP. Seems like the odds of the dice rolling against her too many times in a row are too high here.
With SF interps, it's probably still tough. She gets a turn 1 Shackle is the good news, but no items, so she needs to rely on MP-draining, which can miss. She might be able to flat 2HKO first, but I doubt it.
All just theorycraft anyway above.
