Heavy/Godlike:
Magus, Zelos, Deathevans, Lulu, Leopold, Arc
First off, Zelos just loses to everyone to me. He's close against Arc, but Arc regening MP much better+L1 Invin being cheap on turns Zelos might double+Zelos stuff being very expensive seals that one to me.
Magus crushes Deathevans, Leopold...77% PC HP damage is nice! But his crit rate is something I just don't see happening often at all. Magus takes that easily too. Lulu crushes Magus. Arc...really depends on if Magus is susceptible to stat downs. The really bad news for Magus is that Arc can always hit his elemental weakness. Tentative Arc vote, I think.
Deathevans...40% ID against Lulu's MDef, what does that push it down to? 30% is barely turn 4. Granted, Lulu might only get 2 turns in that internal. But if she pushes it down to like 20%, I'd imagine she wins. Leopold takes him easily, Arc likely gets beaten by running out of MP thanks to threat of ID and think Evans fully immuning status.
Lulu beats Leopold (Well, same status odds as Evans! But...whereas Evans status just kills her...Leopold needs to then depend on his super rare crit) and likely outlasts Arc (unsure what Weak Enemy does to evasion...which I might test sometime). Tentative Lulu vote that I don't think will change.
Lulu 4-0
Magus 3-2
Arc 3-2
Deathevans 2-2
Leopold 2-3
Zelos 0-5
Middle/Heavy:
Drachma, Canas, Sasarai, Tosh, Yuki, Alice
Drachma beats Canas (only need to Charge up to Tackle!)
-Sasarai- Think halved EQ+LoE offs Drachma.
-Tosh...well, he's not normally OHKOed by Tackle, and after Weak Enemy, Drachma maximizes time by going for Hand of Fate. Drachma needs 5 turns for that, so I see Tosh getting at least 4 turns. Turn 1 for Weak Enemy, 3 more turns and Jubakuken hits. Weak Enemy has worn out by then! But the paralysis isn't so good for Drachma. Think Tosh takes that.
-Yuki should live through a Tackle, so Drachma needs 3 turns (SC+Physical+Tackle). First turn SC drops Yuki's damage too much.
-Alice- Probably his best option to go for HoF again, so 5 turns and at least 4 for Alice. Drachma takes that easily.
Canas...Sasarai, yeah guess the MEvade should be pretty useful here. Tosh...Canas gets in the first hit, Weak Enemy, Tosh gets the next turn and smash. Yuki takes him out pretty easily. And if NEB thinks that Alice beats Canas, then I'd imagine she does by my averages!
Tosh outspeeds EQ, but his Weak Enemy move is magic, so I see Sasarai getting it turn 1. Alice blocks Paralysis, is faster turn 1...blar, that one depends on when he doubles really. Tosh deals with Yuki pretty easily.
Sasarai OHKOs Alice, smashes Yuki. Alice already has the auto-win for Yuki.
Sasarai 5-0
Tosh 3-1
Drachma 3-2
Alice 2-2
Yuki 1-4
Canas 0-5
Either way, Canas and Yuki go/stay down to me.
Light/Middle:
Miranda, Rikku, Nei, Cid Highwind, Dinn, FuSoYa
Holding off on Rikku for arghle reasons.
Miranda- Nei has about 60% Physical Damage...which just OHKOes Miranda. Think Cid takes her too, since she needs 5 attacking turns to off him, and has to stay out Dragoon turn for 2 turns to make this strategy works. Feels like the Defending strategy doesn't get her there quickly enough since he'll be building up too much. Cid 2HKOs her easily. Dinn...the speed difference might be large enough for Defending strategy to work. Unsure on FuSoYa
Nei- Beats Cid, since 60% damage isn't kicking an L3 in, Dinn (Both 3HKO each other, she's much faster), FuSoYa does his thing...barely. She misses that OHKO marginally.
Cid- Dinn is an easy win, FuSoYa does his status thing.
Dinn- At least Dinn can halve status! Image makes it irrelevant
FuSoYa 3-0
Nei 3-1
Cid 2-2
Miranda 1-2
Dinn 0-4