Ok, here's some unreliable analysis of what I think happened on the night! I am telling you this now:
It has nothing to do with my role. This is pure speculation, and an attempt to figure out something within this madness. It also has to do with what we know (know...might be a strong word here, I suppose deduce based on what people have said would be better?)
We lost our Two Docs. I doubt there's a third, since that'd be ridiculous. HOWEVER...
Eph claimed he was roleblocked Night 0. Everything Eph said about his role was apparently true, based on the roleflip, I see no reason to not believe this. Since he was town he had NO REASON to lie about anything. Given that, obviously there's someone with Roleblocking abilities.
So what does this mean? My guess is said Roleblocker is not Scum Aligned. As such, he may have successfully bagged a scum last night.
Now, Scum lost a member, it seems. Or its an ITP aligned to scum they didn't know about; in a game like this, I could so see a role like that existing. REGARDLESS, chances are, we have a Night Vig in our midst.
Alternatively, Scum either decided to not Night Kill that night (is this even allowed?) given they have *4* Towns dead in one day, 2 of whom are Docs, why risk being found out? The other part of the either is obviously a Bullet Proof Townie, and they were unfortunate enough to attack them.
That, or to fuck with our minds, given the advanageous situation they are in, they decided to kill one of their own for whatever reason.
...ok, yeah, now I'm going in circles, and all we know is we our down 4 Townies, and we, from what seems to be dumb luck, managed to get rid of a scum last night.
Now, based on what happened in day 1?
##Vote: Captain K
In addition to what was discussed in Day 1...
He does EXACTLY WHAT EVERYONE FEARED MIGHT HAPPEN. Kill Soppy the instant Soppy had 100%, just to save his own skin. Now, if that's all he did, I wouldn't be so worried...
Except, out of the blue, he comes up with a Day Vig Power, and murders QR.
His excuse? She's got Day Vig powers, I got them too, I'm town, SHE MUST BE SCUM!
Talk about backwards logic. We just learned we had 2 Docs, why can't we have two Day Vigs? Furthermore, QR's a confirmed Town now.
Now, lets analyze what we discussed about Day Vigs in Day 1, shall we?
Day Vigs are a useful tool for Town and Scum alike, since in esscence, its like a second Lynch...except that its down to one person who hammers.
What this means is that if this person Day Vigs against the Town's interest, they're painting a Red Target on their heads. My guess is Captain K knows its inevitable to save himself, so to buy time for Scum, he kills off Soppy cause he can, but first Day Vigs a townie Day Vig, and doesn't even ask. If its discussed, and they just vig whoever, people will be weary and lynch that person on the spot.
And Captain K's doing exactly that. Why would he do such a thing?
Because he knows he's going to die. He knew he couldn't defend himself, so right before going out, he does as much damage as he could. Clearly, Scum knew they couldn't defend him either, and told him to do this, since at very least, he can take *2* Towns down with him.
That's the only reason I can see why he'd do that. If he was merely saving his skin, he'd have killed Soppy and left QR alive.
What about Survival Instinct? If that were really the case, Captain K would have at least given a reason behind lynching Soppy *AND* declared he was going to Smashvote.
Due to all this...yeah, no, Captain K, I can't see any reason to keep you alive. Unless someone else has a compelling argument...
And while typing all that out, I am Ninja'd by several people who, glancing at their posts, seem to have said many of the same things I did! ;_;
