Review of Nitori posts has proven disappointingly uninformative. Everyone he voted for is already dead and he never voiced confidence in the reliability of any living players. Almost no one attacked him, either--only Andy did, on day one, questioning Nitori's reading of the Tom offensive against Meeple (which could be seen as Andy trying to take heat off a scumbuddy, given Tom's flip).
So I'm pretty much back to reviewing all of you guys. No one's beyond suspicion, but I do trust some of you more than others. Here's where I stand right now:
Andy: Was on Captain K. for rolefishing early, stuck with it before the Captain was really in trouble, and was very vocal in getting people to smash him day two before he could kill again. If this is one scum sacrificing another for townie cred, it's an impressive act. I can see where Ciato was coming from with his tone, but that alone isn't sufficient reason to hang someone. He did defend Tom against Nitori's accusation day one, though(as noted above), so he's not perfect.
Bardiche: Two out of three investigation results have been proven wrong, so he's either a cop of dubious sanity or lying scum. And now it turns out that he got nothing from last night. It could be he genuinely was roleblocked last night, of course. I actually doubt he's lying about that, because all it would take to expose him would be someone else claiming they were roleblocked last night, and we know there is still a roleblocker in play because they hit Ciato night two (who, as town, had no reason to lie about that) and no one has flipped roleblocker since then.
Basically, I'm throwing his investigations out the window altogether. I don't believe Ciato flipping town automatically clears Rat. Had CK not been a godfather, I'd be willing to consider that Bard is an insane cop and gets the opposite of the correct result every time. But I'm not sure if sanity overrides such power roles in this game, and this uncertainty throws a wrench into the insane cop theory. In the end, I can only fall back on the fact the he spent most of day two arguing that we should wait for a roleclaim from someone who killed two townies at the end of day one and yesterday gave us bad intel on Ciato.
Carthrat: I've gone over this before. He was solidly on the Eph train day one, denounced him and Yakko as colluding scum when Yakko roleclaimed, mostly ignored the CK case day one and stressed that we should wait for the Captain to explain himself day two despite that CK had already demonstrated his willingness to kill multiple townies.
As far as I'm concerned, Bard's cop claim neither clears nor condemns Carthrat. Ciato's death and the Town result on CK adequately prove that Bard's results are either unreliable or outright lies, so I'm throwing that out the window altogether and falling back on the simple fact that, in retrospect, almost everything Rat's done has been harmful to town.
Excal: He was in on the Eph train from the get-go, yeah, but he's done a satisfactory job of explaining his reasoning at every turn. Talks about those he suspects at length and, perhaps more significantly, with them, instead of throwing down an accusation and just letting it stand. I strongly feel that he is town. His bizarre post-hammer message at the end of day two is the only thing I don't like.
Strago: The occasional weirdness with Bard stands out. See: calling him on what could easily have been a grammar slip-up day one, and his weird reversal late yesterday when we were talking about lynching one of Bard's investigation targets. It's not as much his target here as it is the shaky reasoning that bothers me. Still, I find it hard to hold that against him since I find Bard sketchier than ever right now. I'm still not entirely sure about his claim--he did ask me to sum up my flavor text first, so I allow for the possibility that he could've just nodded along in agreement afterwards, trusting in the mod's apparent fixation on dupe roles to make the charade more believable. A little odd, but not a major suspect.
Tai: I don't really associate him with any particular cases, which is often a telling sign of lurking scum late in the game. Had issues of low presence throughout the attenuated first day and seems to join in with trains already in progress rather than start his own. This is fairly worrisome.
Order of suspicion breaks down thusly: Bard > Rat > Tai > Strago > Andy > Excal.
I will note that I consider it unlikely that both Bard and Rat are scum. Yesterday's lynch could've just as easily have been Carthrat as Ciato, which makes the possibility of a Bard/Rat scum duo sacrificing one so the other could get townie cred incredibly remote. I am much more likely to take a favorable view of Carthrat despite my issues with him if Bard flips scum. So:
##Vote: Bardiche
And, because I don't know what to make of him:
##Shoot: Taishyr
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Other notes: Strago, I've got nothing else going on beyond the ability to poke people for 1% damage a day. What have you got in mind?
Andy as bus driver number two? Interesting. Hardly unbelievable in a setup that's already demonstrated a penchant for duping roles. I'm not inferring anything about his or Carthrat's alignment based on this claim alone. It's unproven, for one thing, and the usual about metagaming to prove one's alignment based on their role being damned stupid in this game goes here.
Ninja edit: Rat posts. Getting this down before reading in detail.
