Okay. Analysis of Smodge/EvilTom's posts done, and... not too much info.
WARNING: THIS POST IS LONGISH. NOT FOR THE FAINT OF HEART. BRAVE READERS SHOULD CONSULT A DOCTOR BEFORE READING THIS POST. Also, I skipped posts that were just continuations of arguments, so no, this is not a full bibliography. Feel free to check the remainder yourself, I may have missed something.EvilTom: The Arguments/Case for/against.EvilTom had: the jabs at Carthrat early on (
Here and
here, both during the jokevote phase), a quick jag of conversation with Smodge re: lurkers, a break, then the vote for Unoriginal, switching his vote off Carthrat (
here). After this, Strago attacked him (
here); EvilTom's reply was
this. In this, he stated his reasons for his vote on Carthrat, and he also switched his vote back to Carthrat. (Strago replies to the commentary
here.)
And then EvilTom suggested either lynching Otter or going for a No-Lynch, and got in an argument with Smodge over it that ended up making EvilTom looking really bad. I don't think many people bought the baiting defense, but I guess that's what he was trying to do? Mrf. Didn't feel like it to me. Too bad the only person it baited was the cop, who proceeded to die on us. That argument continued for a while, Carthrat steps in with his attack (
Here) and EvilTom replies in two posts with
this. After a bit more in terms of arguments, QR steps in with
this post, and from there... well, in come the votes (after Carthrat/EvilTom argument; see below). Mmm. The posts against EvilTom merit further analysis, but that's outside the scope of what I was looking at here.
EvilTom: His outside commentaryThe primary digging he did that wasn't directed toward QR or Smodge (whose roles we now know) was Carthrat; however, that was mainly in argument with said Rat. This argument begins
here, with Carthrat's post and continues for another ten or so posts onto the next page.
Secondly, there is this post
here, in which Tom makes notes on people beyond the arguments with him (in specific, pointing out VSM, Unoriginal, and Sopko for "... not standing out. They seem to be playing perfect scum by hiding under the radar, following established lines, posting *just* enough to stay out of LAL, but not getting involved in anything heated (ie. me)." (EvilTom) Four people he considered safe were Smodge (later shown as town), QuietRain (SK/Ghost), and CK/Shale. ...Mmm. Worth keeping in mind, but hardly a cause in and of itself for concern regarding any of them.
Mmm. EvilTom pointed out something here regarding Bobbin Cranbud/Corwin; not sure how important it is, but there is some relevance, as while votes can be removed... such early decisions tend to stick until a better case is made for someone else, so it may have been a form of scum hedging bets in case another target did not turn up? Mmm, that merits keeping in mind. Forgot that this was later proven incorrect by Sopko,
here. Mrf. Another mark against him that I had forgotten about by the time I decided to keep my vote on him...
Finally, he pointed out that some people seemed to be voting him on the principle of "bad town". The only name he mentioned in
this post was my own, and that in reference to not being sure if I was voting him for being scum or bad town. Belayed reply: I thought you were scum. Last two games, you gave me a solid town vibe very early; this time I got nothing but negatives.
Smodge: As Above, So BelowAs for Smodge, most all of his posts were focused on EvilTom, which... doesn't help matters, since we didn't get a clear view of his thoughts on anyone beyond him. He commented on Otter, but seemed willing to give him a free pass since it seemed like a role problem; we now know that wasn't the case, so I'll be keeping an eye on him. Then again, I'm not one to talk, I suppose...
However, he too did a late-day analysis: consisting of
this one and the two below it (interrupted by two posts by EvilTom). His main suspicion lies on IhatethisCPU, which... mmm, there's a case, but he seems to mainly have connection problems. I dunno.
Still, for reference, this is pretty much it in a nutshell. Conclusions? ...Not much: EvilTom pretty much was looking at those who didn't get involved in the argument against him, while Smodge was looking at the lurkers. Doesn't feel useful, either way.