The Matches
Mathias (S5) vs. Edge (FF4) - Edge MDef makes Mat's ID turn one while Mat's status resistance makes Edge's sleep turn two. And, due to tankishness, it's quite probable Mathias gets more than one turn anyway.
Mathias (S5) vs. Gau (FF6) - Faster, begins Rage nonsense. I'm sure he has something good that immunes ID.
Mathias (S5) vs. Lyon (S5) - There's a notable speed difference here, and Lyon's ID will connect first anyway.
Mathias (S5) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - Hm. The status resistance makes this interesting. It's mostly a matter of Toadstool being able to kill Mat before he connects the ID, since she's hitting Silence turn two... buuuuuuut. If I voted him against Edge, I'm not sure Toadstoll will fare much better, her MDef is not that good. Can be argued.
Mathias (S5) vs. Lucian (VP) - Lucian is a bit brutal here, I don't think Mathias avoids that 2HKO, and since Lucian goes first...
Mathias (S5) vs. Lani (FF9) - Kneejerk is that S5 elemental nonsense doesn't go -that- far, and Mathias isn't an MDef god last I checked.
Mathias (S5) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - HEALER VS. LEEHALT
Mathias (S5) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - NOT SUCKING AGAINST VAYNARD
Mathias (S5) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Oh lord, the wind weakness makes this ugly. Granted, Argilla MDef... could make the ID turn four, in which case, things could get admittedly ugly the other way, since uh Argilla resources. But then, I think Mathias can resist Earth anyway. Cooooooooool.
Mathias (S5) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - Mathias is tanky enough to handle a Silent Lake go, and past that... well, ID solves problems.
Mathias (S5) vs. Nelis (S5) - Suikoden 5 elemental nonsense!
Sharon (S3) vs. Edge (FF4) - Way too damned much evade. If Sharon gets a charge of FW, things just get ugly. If you allow Sharon to use Yellow Scarves, then...
Sharon (S3) vs. Gau (FF 6) - Yeah.
Sharon (S3) vs. Lyon (S5) - On the other hand, status resistance+being faster works well here.
Sharon (S3) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - uh.
Sharon (S3) vs. Lucian (VP) - Evade.
Sharon (S3) vs. Lani (FF9) - Was Sharon actually magically tanky?
Sharon (S3) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - Healing vs. Leehalt. That pans out nicely.
Sharon (S3) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - FOGG
Sharon (S3) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Sharon hits a weakness... and it's absolutely irrelevant, since her damage really sucks with wind and isn't much better with physicals. She could have a case for a heal-lock there, but how long can she keep up with Argilla's ridiculous MP?
Sharon (S3) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - Tanking.
Sharon (S3) vs. Nelis (S5) - Nelis heal-locks with a crappy spell really easily with that damage, and her Magic/MDef stave off bigger threats due to S5 equip nonsense.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Edge (FF4) - Faster.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Gau (FF6) - Faster! Sleep+fatal status does its magic. Paralyze should work.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Lyon (S5) - ... hmmmm.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - Immunes Silence and Sleep at once. The turn two status are still a bit problematic, but her Silence hits turn one and she 3HKOs past that.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Lucian (VP) - Statusin'.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Lani (FF9) - Heavy-level boss.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - Leehalt owns 3HKOers.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - Ahahahaha Vaynard hype. Nash status is still turn two at worst and he only needs to connect one to win.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Argilla (DDS) - On the other hand... Argilla immunes the turn one stuff, turn two stuff might become turn four, and Argilla still 3HKOs. Weird.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - Statusin'.
Nash (LSSC) vs. Nelis (S5) - Nelis needs to OHKO or die here. Not sure if it happens.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Edge (FF4) - Sleep immunity doesn't help matters, either.
Kresnik (WA 4) vs. Gau (FF 6) - Gau.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Lyon (S5) - Now, this is sorta funny. Kres makes Lyon's magic utterly fail, and he gets to keep up well enough against the physicals.
Kresnik (WA 4) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - Hm. Resource war here. Kres needs to heal more often, but he also gets more turns, which... might end up not mattering. Hm.
Kresnik (WA 4) vs. Lucian (VP) - Yeah no, this is a bit much.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Lani (FF9) - Lani's counters make this fight interesting, but the speed edge after Adrenaline and the fact Lani isn't really applying that much pressure makes me kneejerk his way.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - Healing.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - Um yeah.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Another cool match. Kres makes Argilla's damage fail, but... this is a resource war, and both are very deep on their reserves. Kres' damage also blows, which relieves Argilla's problems a lot.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - This one hinges on Lo Wen being able to kill Kres before SL runs out.
Kresnik (WA4) vs. Nelis (S5) - I think. Kres avoids the 2HKO very easily once Adrenaline is in place, and even if the healing isn't particularly close to full, the gross durability against spells makes it fairly easy to manage.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Edge (FF4) - Goddamnit. Unless Image < ITE.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Gau (FF6) - Gau getting turns.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Lyon (S5) - Depends on whether Lyon can stave off Mizuki's 2HKO or not.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - Toadstool can't handle Mizuki's insanely fast 2HKO. Sleep can buy her turns, but it doesn't help enough.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Lucian (VP) - Mizuki gets 3HKOed in effect against Lucian due to evade (since she juuuuuuust avoids that OHKO). And she 3HKOs first.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Lani (FF9) - 2HKOs first.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - As well.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - Vaynard.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Argilla -loathes- that spammable 2HKO off Mizuki speed.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - So does Lo Wen. This pool sorta plays to Mizuki's strengths, with all the "lacking durability" thing.
Mizuki (S4) vs. Nelis (S5) - And yet again. Mizuki's surprisingly brutal at what she does, but she mostly loves the fact this pool mostly lacks people who can survive two of her hits - or stave off that speed.
Jude (WA4) vs. Edge (FF4) - This is one of the rare places where MYSTIC POTION BERRY sees use, is my kneejerk. Immuning Sleep helps, too. Which is to say this is still a very neat match, since Edge can throw up Images forever and is not a lot slower than Jude. Still thinking.
Jude (WA 4) vs. Gau (FF6) - Yeah.
Jude (WA4) vs. Lyon (S5) - Lyon OHKOs through Mithral Guard. That's that.
Jude (WA4) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - Hm, neat match. Sleep basically always hits, and that screws up AB strategies. On the other hand, Jude getting in a single physical => AB ends the fight. If Jude chooses to immune Sleep instead, Silence handles his shenanigans, since now he's relying on a basic physical. Cooool.
Jude (WA4) vs. Lucian (VP) - Jude's retardedly fast 2HKO works wonders here.
Jude (WA4) vs. Lani (FF9) - Hmmmm. He probably wins if he still 3-2s without a second physical. If not, things get messy, but... hmmmm.
Jude (WA4) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - Pelt with SL+physical, finish off with AB at -worst-. Sounds like a fine strategy to me.
Jude (WA4) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - Range screws counters, and hyping the freeze spell as above average damage (which Vaynard -needs- to 2HKO Jude) doesn't ring right to me. This means Jude can manage it to me.
Jude (WA4) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Yup.
Jude (WA4) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - Can survive a SL at worst, and risks outslugging Lo Wen under it anyway due to the speed.
Jude (WA4) vs. Nelis (S5) - Nelis, however, just screws the rules and OHKOs.
Jessica (MK) vs. Edge (FF4) - Mage healer who immunes Sleep against Edge. That's ugly.
Jessica (MK) vs. Gau (FF6) - Um, yeah.
Jessica (MK) vs. Lyon (S5) - OHKOs.
Jessica (MK) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - Toadstool is faster regardless, and immunes Silence. Jess can last a while, but... Toadstool healing resources be deep under my interp.
Jessica (MK) vs. Lucian (VP) - BUTBUTBUT BLOCKER HYPE
Jessica (MK) vs. Lani (FF9) - The speed catches up eventually, really.
Jessica (MK) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - TIMED HEALING VS. LEEHALT
Jessica (MK) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - Avoiding counters is really important here, and that, Jessica can do. Vaynard probably scrapes a 2HKO, but that doesn't matter here.
Jessica (MK) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Jessica hits weakness... but Argilla immunes Silence IIRC, and she also 2HKOs, while Jess... can't say the same in practice. The resource disparity proves to be too much.
Jessica (MK) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - Blocker pathetically may win her the fight.
Jessica (MK) vs. Nelis (S5) - OHKOs.
Roxis (MK) vs. Edge (FF4) - Immunes Sleep, goes to town with Chrona Drive.
Roxis (MK) vs. Gau (FF6) - I guess. Granted, this is such a bizarre fight.
Roxis (MK) vs. Lyon (S5) - That 2HKOing thing. Roxis no likey.
Roxis (MK) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - Roxis has to immune Silence here. However, he is wasting his time if he tries to use his status immunity move, since Toadstool 3HKOs. Sleep may actually end up winning her the fight here, in the end, since it -does- give her some room to heal, and she won't have problems outpacing Roxis resources with that breathing room.
Roxis (MK) vs. Lucian (VP) - OHKOs.
Roxis (MK) vs. Lani (FF9) - I think she still 2HKOs. If not? Roxis probably gets by, since she's not 3-2ing (I am not respecting FF9 speed -that- much, even if she's Kujatastic for speed -unscaled-).
Roxis (MK) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - EDIT: It's an auto-counter, yeah. In which case, Roxis just Trick Edges and gets by, since I allow him the nearly 2k damage figure for it.
Roxis (MK) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - Vaynard.
Roxis (MK) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Ohhhh, neat match. But, while Argilla's MDef helps a bunch... Roxis gets in one of those rare third turns due to Quick, and that probably seals her fate.
Roxis (MK) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - Silent Lake. Ow.
Roxis (MK) vs. Nelis (S5) - 2HKOs first!
Flay (MK) vs. Edge (FF4) - Immunes Sleep and timed cards are a decent way to bypass Image. So it goes.
Flay (MK) vs. Gau (FF6) - Gaus it up.
Flay (MK) vs. Lyon (S5) - Just 2HKOs and has the damage to bypass Last Stand range.
Flay (MK) vs. Toadstool (SMRPG) - This is sorta brutal, though. As usual, Peach can buy turns with Sleep (Flay's blocking Silence period), but no bypassing Last Stand range for her, and Raiden Charge can make things really ugly.
Flay (MK) vs. Lucian (VP) - EDIT: I said I could be argued, right? Good match.
Flay (MK) vs. Lani (FF9) - Lani can't avoid that LS range herself. While the speed edge is big, she probably ends up dying first.
Flay (MK) vs. Leehalt (WA3) - 2HKOers, Leehalt is not such a fan of.
Flay (MK) vs. Vaynard (Brig) - Yeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeah.
Flay (MK) vs. Argilla (DDS) - Ugly.
Flay (MK) vs. Lo Wen (S2) - Lives through SL and booms.
Flay (MK) vs. Nelis (S5) - So, if all four stars from Buster Star goes through, Flay kills Nelis. This is worrisome. However, Nelis leisurely chip-2HKOs, and the speed advantage turn one is not negligible. I think she can manage before that fourth, fatal star connects.
