(Apologies, the interest in the previous post was more in finding out your position rather than starting a debate, but since metroid has already jumped into that arena...)
Cranbud: I see. Okay, good to hear then, as you've basically made about the only remaining argument for monarchy that doesn't either require futuristic yet expensive genetic engineering or dictates from God. It's an okay argument in the abstract, and certainly one that was used as late as the 1930s... just... it's an argument that has absolute reams of evidence against it. The evidence is in, and all the fears about democracy they had in 1850 - that mediocre idiots who curry favor with the unthinking masses will be elected - have proven overblown, while monarchies have for the most part continued to fail it up. This is especially true if only mature democracies are studied - that throws out cases like Chavez or Hitler.
Your complaints about elective democracy have merit, but I suspect this is a case of being able to spot the practical flaws in the system you know while comparing it against another system at its theoretical optimum. Meanwhile monarchy falls way short of its optimum all the time - plenty of nobles only learn how to party in their youth rather than how to rule, and that's been true for a long time. Charismatic rabble-rousers at their worst are bad leaders, yes, but few reach the insanity of a "bad son" in the succession. And so on.
I think that elective governments create a sense of responsibility (both to interface with the electoral process and for the results of that process), but do not actually give real agency to the electorate. If you are voting for President in a country the size of the US, your impact is 1/5,000,000 greater than zero. Giving people 'false agency' seems both disingenuous and undesirable to me.But... the people do have agency. True, "I personally am mad at President Bush" changes little. But "I am mad at President Bush because he appointed cronies, failed to respond to Hurricane Katrina properly, and mismanaged Iraq..." well, so long as other people think like you do, the result is
unpopular actions get you kicked out of office. Which is the whole point.
The only non-elective, non-hereditary methods of choosing a leader I'm familiar with, however, tend to result in violent takeover and extreme aggression, if not outright oppression, from the executive.Really? There's "appoint a successor" (granted, this often turns into monarchy; see the Julio-Claudians) and "a council picks" notably. The Politburo picked a new General Secretary of the USSR pretty consistently without bloodshed after Stalin. Same with the General Secretary of China, since they arrested the Gang of Four after Mao, it's flipped Secretaries several times peacefully. Same in Vietnam. Checking Wikipedia... the SLORC in Burma/Myanmar have done one succession without bloodshed, and unfortunately I suspect they'll be able to do more if they decide to continue to keep power.
You'd have more of a point before 1700, when this really was true and the death without an heir was an invitation for a kingdom to split up and for every disconnected town to go their own way. Of course, that was back when travel/communication was bad and stopping the ambitious Duke from arming himself and contesting the throne was hard. That's not really an issue anymore. (Also, some of the better monarchies did in fact have councils or traditions like this - the original Islamic Caliphate picked a successor based off councils for awhile, even if the successor was usually related to Muhammad, and the same with the Mongols.)
I think that the process by which elected leaders achieve power is inherently harmful. It actives encourages internal strife among the electorate, offers ample opportunity for interest groups to infiltrate, if not outright dominate, the government, and selects for ambition. Leadership by conquest involves violence and turmoil by default and is even more likely to lead to factional strife, which is in turn likely to perpetuate the cycle of violence. Hereditary rule provides for a smoother transition of power and can work to reduce factionalism.The key word here is "can" work to reduce factionalism. For example, let's take Syria, where
King "President" Assad, in an amazing coincidence, happens to be the son of the previous "President" Assad. Assad is an Alawite, a minority of about 10% of Syria. Do you think that Alawites fill roughly 10% of government posts? Or do they fill like 50-80%, because they can be counted on to be loyal, as they're getting a way better deal by having this government be in power and thus would lose out majorly if the government fell? And don't get me started on the Saudi monarchy. This is nothing new, either. The Castilian-raised Spanish monarchy from 1700 or so forward economically ignored Catalonia/Aragon/Valencia due to their funny dialect, poor economy, and habit of allying with the French when Spain and France fought.
I would propose that democracy does run into serious problems if 60% of the electorate is of one faction and capable of consistently voting together (see: Shiites in Iraq), hence Madison's famous desire for a multitude of factions to cancel each other out. Just... with monarchies, sure, maybe the monarch will be even-handed, but maybe they won't be. And when that 60% supermajority doesn't exist, any democratic leader who blatantly pandered to too small a part of the population would get kicked out.
I suspect my use of the phrase "the Mandate of Heaven" is throwing some people, because it SOUNDS like a religious term. It essentially isn't.Nah, I'm familiar with the concept. I was just more raising the fact that the stated grounds for monarchy back in the day tended to be something along the lines of the Divine Right of Kings. Glad to hear you don't actually buy into that (though it sounded like that anyway when you said that the nature of the religion didn't matter - a hardcore Christian Monarchist, for all that they're nearly extinct now, certainly would think the religion matters a lot.)
Are you in favor of monarchy in general?
I'm not exactly sure what you mean, but... yes, if I'm reading you right.I meant "monarchy for everyone" rather than "I support the Xian monarchy specifically, and maybe they should even rule the world because that family is just that awesome."
If you accept the possibility of a good dictator, I'd be inclined to favor even a bad monarch over one of those.Monarchy vs. Dictatorship is a more interesting proposition. If you're stuck with that form of government, I'd probably prefer a dictatorship? But monarchies tend to produce utterly incompetent leaders and get themselves overthrown, so the monarchy might be better after all (if for the "wrong" reason).
Eh. Didn't mean for this to go on so long. Don't feel obligated to debate or anything, was just curious before.... but... yeah, monarchism is a proposition I feel has a whole lot of problems in the modern situation, even if we were to adopt the other parts of your platform - monarchy is still a bad idea in a 1900 agrarian society.