Ryu (BoF3) vs. Loki (VP) - Being marginally above average speed > not having a speed stat and winning tiebreaks to me.
Fei Fong Wong (XG) vs. Naoto Shirogane (P4) - Hilariously spoils: not only Fei is ID-vulnerable, Naoto immunes both his highest damage skills, and without those, he risks not even 2HKOing through evade, and that's a great way to get yourself owned by Naoto when you don't immune ID. Somewhere, Wugui smiles wickedly and Fei curses splattering most of the people who could stop Naoto's rampage. gj, Heavy.
Kanji Tatsumi (P4) vs. Yukiko Amagi (P4) - Kanji doesn't OHKO Yukiko even under Tarukaja unless you don't take Souji in the averages (and there's no reason for that when he's rankable). Given how limited his 2HKO to her is, that's a great way for him to lose. She probably doesn't even bother with Miori Shirt here. Yukiko even has good Luck, which should keep Kanji's crit chances down, and she has some evade even without Miori, which drags the odds of crit hype down further.
Landis (S3) vs. Serph (DDS) - Serph curses Landis' magical tankishness and gets stunned to oblivion.