We had this conversation last time as I recall, but Zog's Char is also MT for what that's worth to anyone.
... Oh, then yes, this fight is troublesome already.
If you try to have Eiko reflect the team then Zio kills her
How exactly would Zio pull this off? Eiko halves Fire/Shadow/Water with one Armour. Hewn isn't strong enough to kill her, and if she just goes for Carbuncle immediately, Reflect+Protect shouldn't let Zio do anything fatal to Eiko. He's not OHKOing her at the least.
Round by round:
Deis2 casts BoltX on Melfice. Melfice outspeeds Eileen, and Ssssh!s her. Let's go with a favourable interpretation that doesn't let him silence multiple people in one go. (
Please?) Eileen defends. Comes Shiho's turn, who Normalises Eileen. Eiko throws up Carbuncle for Reflect+Protect, and Lucian rounds against Zio and Zog, since Melfice dodges him.
Zio... can't cast anything due to Reflect existing. He physicals Eiko, who halves his 2HKO damage to 3HKO.
So then Zog comes. Eiko still halves Fire, so can he really take her down? Let's say Char doesn't hit against Reflect and hurts everyone, excepting Eiko who halves Fire and doesn't really care.
So Deis2 comes up again. She throws another BoltX in Melfice's face. Let's assume he still lives through that.
So what does he do now? Eileen's not in awful shape due to Defend existing, as well as Carbuncle's Protect. Melfice busts out the Demon Horde Slash? That's a 3HKO normally so under Protect it is reduced to a pitiful 5HKO. Given that everyone's already hurt from the earlier attack, he may drop Eileen (who should still be defending until she gets her turn) and/or Shiho (whose HP score just hurts her case).
If Eileen lives, she now drops a casting of Earthquake to add damage.
Meanwhile, Eiko heals my team back to full, and Lucian attacks once again.
At this point, Zog/Zio have taken two Lucian MTs, (at least one Earthquake MT) and Melfice has taken two BoltXes. If there's particular durability respect for all of them, they're not dead yet.
Zog and Zio do their non-lethal thing. (Maybe they drop Eileen since she doesn't Defend anymore, but there's still Reflect+Protect in play.)
Deis2's turn comes up again, she gives Melfice his THIRD casting of BoltX. I don't know about you, but three BoltXes (and an Earthquake) spell definite Melfice-related death to me.
Lucian once again attacks Zog and Zio. At this point, options arise. If Zio has died by now and it's just Zog, I've already won. Eiko heals herself with Cure, waits for her turn to come up again (Zog can't kill her even after Reflect+Protect fades), either doubles Zog by now or casts Haste to ensure she does on her next turn and summons Phoenix to pick the entire team back up AND heal them if Shiho cannot do so in time. Now it's Zog Versus Team Bard at full health.
Eiko may be down to half MP around now.
24 MP (Carbuncle)
22 MP (Curaga)
4 MP (Cure)
30 MP (Phoenix)
22 MP (Curaga)
8 MP Haste
30 + 20 + 30 + 30 = 110 MP worst case scenario, she has at least 230 if you factor in MP+10%.
If you let Eileen die during the first rounds of combat, and let Melfice live through three BoltXes regardless... Yeah, then I'm not sure.