Register

Author Topic: Season 58, Week 3  (Read 1997 times)

superaielman

  • "Mordero daghain pas duente cuebiyar/The fear of death holds not my heart!"
  • Moderator
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 9632
    • View Profile
Season 58, Week 3
« on: March 20, 2010, 01:06:39 PM »
Godlike:

Isolde Schelling (MK) vs Mitsuo Kubo (Pers4)
Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG)

Heavy:

Sofia (DQ4) vs Alena (DQ4)
Sharon (S3) vs Ephraim (FE8)

Middle:

Crowley (S1) vs Peppita Rosetti (SO3)
Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7)

Light:

Peco (BoF3) vs Tony (XF)
Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3)

Bonus:

Ivalice Fortress 2
"Reputation is what other people know about you. Honor is what you know about yourself"- Count Aral Vorkosigan, A Civil Campaign
-------------------
<Meeple> knownig Square-enix, they'll just give us a 2nd Kain
<Ciato> he would be so kawaii as a chibi...

superaielman

  • "Mordero daghain pas duente cuebiyar/The fear of death holds not my heart!"
  • Moderator
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 9632
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #1 on: March 20, 2010, 01:26:52 PM »
Godlike:

Isolde Schelling (MK) vs Mitsuo Kubo (Pers4)- Her timed card attacks should disrupt Mitsuo's defensive game enough.
Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG)- OHKO. Ted offense is silly.

Heavy:

Sofia (DQ4) vs Alena (DQ4)- Think two reflected Alena turns+Thunder is just enough, but this match is close. Sofia needs to hit sleepmore on the first try, Alena needs some luck with criticals to keep pressure up. Eh.
Sharon (S3) vs Ephraim (FE8)- Wind of sleep should slow Ephraim down enough, combined with Sharon's defenses.

Middle:

Crowley (S1) vs Peppita Rosetti (SO3)- Even if she doesn't OHKO, elven cape means Crowley is reduced to his physical. Good luck with that.
Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7)- I think?

Light:

Peco (BoF3) vs Tony (XF)
Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3)- Annnnnnnnnnnd we have blowouts.

Bonus:

Ivalice Fortress 2
"Reputation is what other people know about you. Honor is what you know about yourself"- Count Aral Vorkosigan, A Civil Campaign
-------------------
<Meeple> knownig Square-enix, they'll just give us a 2nd Kain
<Ciato> he would be so kawaii as a chibi...

Dark Holy Elf

  • Moderator
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 8161
  • Well-behaved women seldom make history
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #2 on: March 20, 2010, 03:30:26 PM »
Godlike:

Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG): Boom. Citan doesn't have the power to OHKO first.

Heavy:

Sofia (DQ4) vs Alena (DQ4): Instant 3-2, so even sleep isn't saving Sofia here (the chance of Alena both being sent to sleep AND missing more than one turn are well under 2/3). Healing admits a lock.
Sharon (S3) vs Ephraim (FE8): Need to look at the numbers more closely here, but here's my kneejerk. Sharon is 5HKOing or something, WoS is missing more often than not, and she doesn't have enough spell charges to keep both this and the healing up for long enough.

Middle:

Crowley (S1) vs Peppita Rosetti (SO3): Element spoiling.
Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7): Reminds me of Tifa/Florina but without the essential melee counter argument. Rebecca can't even survive a L1 I'm pretty sure... 0.71 pdur? Yeah.

Light:

Peco (BoF3) vs Tony (XF)
Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3): See Super!

Erwin Schrödinger will kill you like a cat in a box.
Maybe.

superaielman

  • "Mordero daghain pas duente cuebiyar/The fear of death holds not my heart!"
  • Moderator
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 9632
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #3 on: March 20, 2010, 03:32:03 PM »
Sofia' using Swordedge/bladed armor. I don't think she is getting more than one turn to damage Alena with Lightning, so she needs to use the reflected damage aspect up while Alena is heal locking. I'm really not sure on this fight, as it hinges a lot on how Alena criticals.
"Reputation is what other people know about you. Honor is what you know about yourself"- Count Aral Vorkosigan, A Civil Campaign
-------------------
<Meeple> knownig Square-enix, they'll just give us a 2nd Kain
<Ciato> he would be so kawaii as a chibi...

Dark Holy Elf

  • Moderator
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 8161
  • Well-behaved women seldom make history
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #4 on: March 20, 2010, 03:48:40 PM »
Alena has a 3-2 so she's killing before Sofia's second turn if Sofia doesn't put her to sleep, and putting her to sleep seems like a losing gamble.

If you see Sofia surviving two Alena turns then that's reasonable to vote as you are. Less respect for Alena's crit rate or speed would tilt this match, no doubt, but I'm pretty comfortable here.

Erwin Schrödinger will kill you like a cat in a box.
Maybe.

Jo'ou Ranbu

  • Social Justice Steampunk Literature Character
  • New Age Retro Fucking Hipster
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 12988
  • Ah'm tuff fer mah size!
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #5 on: March 20, 2010, 07:44:36 PM »
Godlike:

Isolde Schelling (MK) vs Mitsuo Kubo (Pers4) - Timed cards and being durable. Mitsuo's limit game sorta pales in comparison to Isolde's.
Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG) - Ted lol ohko, Citan no lol ohko.

Heavy:

Sofia (DQ4) vs Alena (DQ4) - Same as Elfboy here. Alena's not far off from an instant double-turn, although it's pretty irrelevant.
Sharon (S3) vs Ephraim (FE8) - Okay, ID is turn never, sleep is turn two. Reginlef is going to do horrible things even to Sharon defense, and she's eating counters when she attacks, she doesn't have the healing depth to break past Eph's offense... yeah, this is kinda difficult for her. She even -can- win the fight, but it feels like an uphill battle.

Middle:

Crowley (S1) vs Peppita Rosetti (SO3) - Even sans Elven Cape, element halving+Peppita has healing herself = she can coast through Shining Wind spam, which should put Crowley's victory out of reach. Yeah, works. Although... can Peppita even equip Elemental Leathers? >_> Regardless, Elven Cape = byebye.
Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7) - Florina -needed- counters to beat Tifa. Becca is frailer to boot, so she doesn't even have the argument to survive a physical+L1.

Light:

Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3) - lol tal (no offense to Tally-chu~)

« Last Edit: March 23, 2010, 01:58:41 AM by Jo'ou Ranbu »
[01:08] <Soppy-ReturningToInaba> HEY
[01:08] <Soppy-ReturningToInaba> LAGGY
[01:08] <Soppy-ReturningToInaba> UVIET?!??!?!
[01:08] <Laggy> YA!!!!!!!!!1111111111
[01:08] <Soppy-ReturningToInaba> OMG!!!!
[01:08] <Chulianne> No wonder you're small.
[01:08] <TranceHime> cocks
[01:08] <Laggy> .....

Dhyerwolf

  • Mod Board Access
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 4736
  • Here it comes, the story, of mankind's final glory
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #6 on: March 20, 2010, 08:33:43 PM »
Godlike:

Isolde Schelling (MK) vs Mitsuo Kubo (Pers4)
Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG)

Heavy:

Sofia (DQ4) vs Alena (DQ4)- Hmmm, pondering
Sharon (S3) vs Ephraim (FE8)- No free counters makes this Sharon's match pretty easily

Middle:

Crowley (S1) vs Peppita Rosetti (SO3)
Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7)

Light:

Peco (BoF3) vs Tony (XF)
Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3)
...into the nightfall.

Sei

  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 193
  • Hooray!
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #7 on: March 21, 2010, 01:44:55 AM »
Godlike:

Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG) - Boom

Middle:

Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7) - Rebecca is frail, can't avoid the Limit, can't counter, and misses doubles to me as well.  Pretty open and shut battle.

Light:

Peco (BoF3) vs Tony (XF) - Not Tony
Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3) - Considering how I actually saw Tal losing to Palmer in the last round... <<
« Last Edit: March 21, 2010, 01:51:33 AM by Sei »

Nitori

  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 1091
  • The only thing YOU'RE onto is your mot-
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #8 on: March 21, 2010, 03:34:46 AM »
Bonus:

Ivalice Fortress 2

<Ko-NitoriisSulpher> roll 1d100 to grade Nitori?
<Hatbot> ACTION --> "Ko-NitoriisSulpher rolls 1d100 to grade Nitori? and gets 100." [1d100=100]

OneWingedAngel12

  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 13
  • "I will... never be a memory."
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2010, 09:03:44 AM »
Godlike:

Isolde Schelling (MK) vs Mitsuo Kubo (Pers4)  - Mitsuo's capacity of inflicting damage to Isolde is not enough and the latter will surely break through his "defenses".
 
Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG)  - Ted 's gonna use his range for sure...

Heavy:

Sofia (DQ4) vs Alena (DQ4)   - Not sure, honestly.  :-\

Sharon (S3) vs Ephraim (FE8) - I don't know how to explain it...  :(

Middle:

Crowley (S1) vs Peppita Rosetti (SO3)  - A status changing reality is gonna be a hard one for Crowley.  ;D

Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7)   - Another combo finish ?  8-)

Light:

Peco (BoF3) vs Tony (XF)   -  Ugh. A freak onion vs. a dog... It's gotta be it.

Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3)   - No vote...  :-\

Bonus:

Ivalice Fortress 2  - Mustadio the Engineer will got him. The imposter will boast to his headshot doom.  8-)

SnowFire

  • DL
  • Denizen
  • *
  • Posts: 4964
    • View Profile
Re: Season 58, Week 3
« Reply #10 on: March 23, 2010, 01:49:13 AM »
Godlike:

Ted (S4) Vs Citan Uzuki (XG) - Alas.

Heavy:

Sofia (DQ4) vs Alena (DQ4) - Close match, since I'm normally not really on board with DQ4 status hype.  Still, tank two hits -> Sleep -> Heal -> 2HKO means Sofia has to take 4 Alena hits and hope none critical, and also have the Sleep hit.  Actually going to roll it out...  sleep hits...  and so does an Alena critical.  Dang.
Sharon (S3) vs Ephraim (FE8) - Evade / counters hype?

Middle:

Crowley (S1) vs Peppita Rosetti (SO3)
Rebecca (FE7) vs Tifa Lockheart (FF7)

Light:

Peco (BoF3) vs Tony (XF) - Tony is horrible.
Tal (S4) vs Shabon (S3)

Bonus:
Ivalice Fortress 2
That SQUIRE is a SPY!

...and now for overanalysis.  It occurs to me that Leg Aim would actually be pretty awesome in TF2, at least in team settings.  No movement = sitting duck for all sorts of bad stuff.  And now to overthink things...  in the DL, Locke hangs back with a Wing Edge in a pathetic slapfight, then charges Musty for the kill with a powered up Equalizer Valiant Knife and prays he doesn't get Arm/Leg Aimed out.  And Musty has an argument for doing way better damage at close range here should the Arm / Leg Aim kick in!  Shame he won't have softened Locke up much before.  Maybe Wrench hype?   ...sure, yeah, think I'll go Musty here.