Elliot Craig vs. Lady Harken - I'm pretty sure Elliot just gets overwhelmed. Not only is Harken much faster, but Maximum Risk means Elliot at some point has to try and bust past it and he just doesn't have the damage to really clear the fatal range. On the plus side, he does hit a weakness!
Elliot Craig vs. Lyon (S5) - Think this depends on how you see Yellow Scarf interacting against stat busts? Elliot can use either Dark Matter or Shining to put a damper on the physicals and it works wonders here in conjunction with Detector Alpha. It forces Lyon to use her magic, which eats the massive damage nerf. Lyon can try waiting it out but Elliot has way more resources and doesn't really mind the stall fest. If you see the scarf catching stat busts, Lyon probably heal locks with a physical or something, and doesn't give Elliot any room to maneuver.
Elliot Craig vs. Ike - Ike Doubles. This is a really big problem because he also likely goes first and just heal locks. Assuming he doesn't, even with Detector Alpha, Elliot can't recover fast enough to heal himself, boost his evade or create space to bust Ike's move. His best chance is to roll a 60% chance to sleep with Blue Nocturne. Don't think that meets my turn 1 threshold, but its close.
Elliot Craig vs. Geno - Elliot blocks ID so Geno has to win through damage. The problem is, even after boosting, his good damage costs a considerable amount of FP. I'm not sure he can kill Elliot with his physical, especially after eating an attack nuke from Detector or dealing with Shining's Evade boost.
Elliot Craig vs. Alicia - This is a potential endless fight, since Elliot does have crafts that heal (Alicia meanwhile doesn't use any). However, Elliot has chances of status attached to some of his spells and Alicia can't block Sleep. So some combination of status eventually wrecks her is my guess.
Elliot Craig vs. Fujin - Way too much status for Elliot to handle. Elliot has to block Poison/Silence/Confuse at the same time and I don't think he can. Missing anyone is lethal since Fujin just casts Pain/Confuse, then Sai and then poke to win.
Elliot Craig vs. Vayne Aurelius - Oh man. Spoils Vayne's gameplan with his healing S-craft. This shuts down Overrealm pretty much since Elliot can tap in and full heal inbetween it. Rest of his skillset just gets walled by Detector Alpha's stat nuking. Glorious.
Elliot Craig vs. Margulis - Um yeah...ACALA SEAL hype. ID's notes doesn't list any charge up, so he begin charging for it the very turn he gets. Elliot doesn't really have the damage to take Margy down in 4 turns.
4-4. Did better than I think. Elliot's probably more mid-Heavyish then, which is neat. We haven't had a decent stalling type PC for a while!
Gespent vs. Lady Harken - Harken is all physical. RIP.
Gespent vs. Lyon (S5) - Yeah, I can buy Random's argument
Gespent vs. Ike - Actually, I think NIHIL has a better case of shutting down Gespent's physical immunity. It interacts with Ashera's auras by removing their passive trait (or reflecting damage), so you can kinda argue that Nihil should catch Gespent's dark aura as well. Problem is, Ike needs to dodge at least 1 Corpse Claw and while Gespent isn't terribly accurate, and Ike himself doesn't have the greatest evasion. EDIT: I'll go with the more likely scenario I suppose; since Ike needs a lot of interp calls.
Gespent vs. Geno - Corpse Claw'd
Gespent vs. Alicia - EDIT: Oh right, holy component on weapons in VP2 deal magic damage. So Alicia very slowly grinds out a victory since Gespent can't kill her.
Gespent vs. Fujin - This is pathetic beyond words. Fujin mainly has Wind magic which gets halved BUT she also has that OPB Meteor, which probably lets her win the damage race.
Gespent vs. Vayne Aurelius - Pure physicals against Gespent. Part 3!
Gespent vs. Margulis - Rakta spam eventually wins this, even though it means Margy can't do anything for half the fight. NEB's notes say he has like 4.63x MDur - even halved, that's way too much for Gespent's puny damage to really gain any real traction.
5-3; coinflip type matches on Lyon/Ike. Spoiler package of hell. Loses if you counter the spoiling, but its' strong.
Igornak vs. Lady Harken - So part of Iggy's problem is that his OHKO Double requires the use of his 3 hit physical. This rams straight into Harken's Parry and evasion and probably means that he won't deal the full damage. That's looking at a very dangerous Maximum Risk territory. Alternatively, he can try chipping before the Double. However, Harken is faster and probably kills first even then.
Igornak vs. Lyon (S5) - Similar problem as with Harken. Lyon is slower, but should 2HKO more safely. Not sure what Iggy can do here.
Igornak vs. Ike - Both 2HKO each other I think - but Ike should have initiative (2 range + Iggy's bad opening turn) and has evade.
Igornak vs. Geno - After Boost, he should have the defense to live through the Double and be able to capitalize on the lag time.
Igornak vs. Alicia - Don't think 20% Dark Res is enough for this. Iggy heal locks the moment he hits pretty much.
Igornak vs. Fujin - Massive damage difference. Iggy doesn't like losing the first turn, but he probably doesn't care here anyway.
Igornak vs. Vayne Aurelius - Uh not sure. Vayne wins for sure if he pulls off Over realm, but that half turn charge means Iggy will smack him with the Double before hand. But...Vayne's HP is pretty good and Iggy's OHKO is like a 50/50 anyway. So.
Igornak vs. Margulis - Major durability difference is my kneejerk. Lack of MT also means Shadows may be worth deploying here too, which can cause Iggy a bunch of problems.
2-6. Oof. Looks more of a Low Heavy - I think this field's pretty strong personally, and maybe these aren't Iggy's preferred opponents. Still think he's better though.
Jude vs. Lady Harken - <Harken> lolno
Jude vs. Lyon (S5) - EDIT: 2HKOs at absolute worse. Probably OHKOs. Jude? I'm not so sure. Does he even 3HKO? Lyon has decent speed and some evade I thought.
Jude vs. Ike - Ike has like, good defense, some evade and above average speed >_>. And he counters. It's like Harken part 2.
Jude vs. Geno - Geno's speed pretty much nukes Assault Buster. This isn't even getting to the fact that he goes first, has boost and hits the right defense.
Jude vs. Alicia - *shreds*. Alicia is the type of target Jude thrives best on.
Jude vs. Fujin - Fujin's like 80% speed or something, so I think Jude pokes, boosted AB and kills.
Jude vs. Vayne Aurelius - Let me think about this; not sure.
Jude vs. Margulis - Yeah, Margy is durable enough for this I think. The shadows are kind of a pain here too since Jude has no legit MT to swat them down.
2-5. About what you expect. Fun borderliner. His game gets less solid in upper division due to the many variables that can mess around with Assault Buster and his egregious Mdef does him no favors.
Ryoma vs. Lady Harken - Yeah, I think Harken doubles? And she's pretty accurate IIRC, so this feels open and shut.
Ryoma vs. Lyon (S5) - Setting Sun's ID is like 70% according to the S5 topic. If not turn 1, certainly turn 2 and Lyon should survive a single Ryoma hit (she won't get doubled).
Ryoma vs. Ike - Feels like a toss up, but Ike should have a slight advantage due to Nihil. Ryoma has an argument with crits but Ike's basically more durable and Ryoma's evade boost doesn't work on the enemy phase.
Ryoma vs. Geno - Geno Whirl. The End.
Ryoma vs. Alicia - Using Snowfire's interps (combined cast average), means that Alicia is pretty much heal locked from the get go and eventually dies to an Astra or crit proc.
Ryoma vs. Fujin - Goes first, and kills with a Double.
Ryoma vs. Vayne Aurelius - Think the evade is too much for Vayne. Could be argued.
Ryoma vs. Margulis - I don't see the Raijinto as Lightning elemental. For all that, this is pretty messy. Counters/Astra/Crits should tip this in his favor I think? Not sure if clones really help Margy since Ryoma probably OHKOs them and they cause him to take 2.75x more damage; even with the healing, I dunno.
4-4. Can't really deal with upper end Heavies, but he's a strong enough mid-carder FE Heavy.
